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Baltimore Orioles vs. Toronto Blue Jays Free Pick 06/09/18

Patrick McDermott-USA TODAY Sports

The Baltimore Orioles will be facing off against their divisional rival Toronto Blue Jays at Rogers Centre. The game gets underway 1:07 p.m. ET and Mid-Atlantic Sports Network will broadcast the matchup.

Baltimore Orioles at Toronto Blue Jays Odds

Toronto (-130) is favored over Baltimore (+120) and Vegas has the Over/Under for this afternoon’s game at 9 runs (-110 for the under and -110 for the over). Bettors can also wager on the game’s spread with the runline odds sitting at Orioles +1.5 runs (-175) and Blue Jays -1.5 runs (+155).

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The Blue Jays are 28-35 SU and 29-33 ATS. They’ve lost 9.6 units for moneyline bettors and 7.0 units against the spread (ATS). The Orioles are 19-43 SU and have gone 23-38 ATS. Overall, the team’s lost 22.0 units for moneyline gamblers and 18.6 units ATS.

Toronto games have had an over/under record of 28-26-8 so far in 2018. The Orioles have been a decent under bet with a total record of 25-34-2.

Kevin Gausman will get the start for the visiting Orioles. The right-handed Gausman is 3-5 with a 4.63 ERA and 68 strikeouts. He’s 1-0 with seven strikeouts and a 4.50 ERA against Toronto this year (six starts).

The Blue Jays will turn to righty Aaron Sanchez (3-5, 4.48 ERA) to the mound. Sanchez has 53 punchouts and 38 walks to his name, as well as a 1.49 WHIP. Sanchez is 1-0 with four strikeouts and a 1.13 ERA across one starts against Baltimore this year.

As a unit, Toronto’s pitchers have given up 5.0 runs per game overall this year. Its starting pitching staff has a 5.02 ERA, 1.41 WHIP and 8.0 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.10 ERA, 1.40 WHIP and 8.9 K/9. In 27 games against AL East foes, Blue Jays starters have an ERA of 4.57 and the bullpen’s ERA is 3.35.

The Toronto hitters are putting up 4.5 runs per outing, including 3.3 per game against divisional foes and 4.0 per game over their last five. The team has a slash-line of .240/.303/.436 over its last five contests and is 3-2 SU during that span.

Right fielder Kevin Pillar and third baseman Yangervis Solarte have led the Blue Jays’ hitters this year. Pillar is hitting .261/.300/.440 with six home runs, 24 RBIs, 31 runs and nine stolen bases, and Solarte’s line is .246/.308/.449 with 12 homers, 36 RBIs and 31 runs.

For the visitors, Baltimore’s pitching staff allowed 5.2 runs per game and its starters own a 5.20 ERA, 1.53 WHIP and 7.75 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 4.33, along with a K/9 of 8.15.

Orioles hitters have slashed .228/.292/.381 on their way to 3.6 runs scored per game this year, including 4.1 runs per game against divisional foes and 2.6 per game over the team’s last five contests (2-3 SU).

Shortstop Manny Machado and outfielder Adam Jones continue to lead Baltimore’s offense. Machado is slashing .317/.384/.604 with 18 home runs, 50 RBIs and 32 runs scored, while Jones (.281/.298/.458) is up to 10 homers, 28 RBIs and 26 runs scored.

The Orioles have lost 17.4 units and are 14-26 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has cashed in 16 of those games, compared to 23 that’ve gone under against right-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the Blue Jays have netted 0.2 units and are 17-20 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over has hit in 19 of those games, compared to 14 that went under.

Baltimore Orioles at Toronto Blue Jays Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Blue Jays, ATS Winner – Orioles, O/U – OVER

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Notes

Betting Trends

The under has hit in four of Toronto’s last seven games.

Baltimore has posted 15.3 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 games and 16.2 over its last five.

The Orioles have hit eight home runs in their last 10 games, including six over their last five.

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Written by GMS Previews

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