The Baltimore Orioles will make a road trip to Toronto to face their AL East nemesis Blue Jays at Rogers Centre. Mid-Atlantic Sports Network will broadcast the action and the game will get going at 7:07 p.m. ET.
Baltimore Orioles at Toronto Blue Jays Odds
Oddsmakers are listing Baltimore (+130) as the underdog to Toronto (-140). Gamblers can wager on the game’s total with odds sitting at -110 for over nine runs and -110 for under nine. Bettors can also wager on the game’s spread with the most recent runline odds standing at Orioles +1.5 runs (-170) and Blue Jays -1.5 runs (+150).
The Orioles have gone only 28-69 SU this year and are 38-59 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 37.0 units for moneyline bettors and 28.5 units ATS. Baltimore’s covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the total has gone under in four of those seven. The Blue Jays, on the other hand, are 43-52 SU and 44-51 ATS. They’ve lost 8.1 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 12.3 units ATS. Toronto has a 3-4 ATS mark over its last seven outings and the under has hit in four of those seven.
Blue Jays games have an over/under record of 44-43-8 so far in 2018. The Orioles have been a solid under bet with a total record of 38-55-4.
Right-hander Dylan Bundy is getting the nod for the visiting Orioles. Bundy is 6-9 with a 4.35 ERA and 113 strikeouts. He’s 0-1 with 10 strikeouts and a 2.57 ERA against Toronto this year.
The Blue Jays are going with righty Sam Gaviglio (2-3, 4.58 ERA), who has 53 punchouts and 18 walks, as well as a 1.32 WHIP. Gaviglio hasn’t faced the Orioles yet this year and did not record a start against them in 2017.
As a unit, Toronto’s pitchers have yielded 4.9 runs per game overall this season. The team’s starting pitching staff has a 4.99 ERA, 1.42 WHIP and 8.0 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 3.89 ERA, 1.35 WHIP and 9.1 K/9. In 39 games against AL East opponents, Blue Jays starters have an ERA of 4.62 and the bullpen’s ERA is 2.90.
The Toronto offense has produced 4.5 runs per outing, including 3.7 per game against divisional foes and 5.2 per game over its last five. The team’s hit .265/.338/.436 over its last five matchups and is 1-4 SU during that span.
Third baseman Yangervis Solarte and right fielder Kevin Pillar have led the Blue Jays’ hitters this year. Solarte is slashing .241/.297/.422 with 16 home runs, 48 RBIs and 43 runs scored, while Pillar’s line is .247/.279/.407 with eight homers, 37 RBIs, 42 runs and 11 steals.
For the visitors, Baltimore’s pitching staff allowed 5.2 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 5.30 ERA, 1.49 WHIP and 7.52 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.27, along with a K/9 of 8.21.
The Orioles offense has slashed .227/.291/.379 on its way to 3.6 runs scored per game in 2018, including 3.7 runs per game against divisional foes and 3.0 per game over the team’s last five contests (2-3 SU).
Baltimore’s offense has been fueled by shortstop Manny Machado and outfielder Adam Jones, who collectively have belted 34 home runs. Machado is hitting .315/.387/.575 with 24 home runs, 65 RBIs and 48 runs scored. Jones is hitting .275/.299/.423 with 10 homers, 36 RBIs and 38 runs scored.
The Orioles have lost 31.6 units and are 22-41 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has cashed in 25 of those games, as opposed to 35 that’ve gone under against righties. On the other hand, the Blue Jays have netted 5.5 units and are 29-31 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over’s hit in 30 of those games, as opposed to 26 which went under the total.
Baltimore Orioles at Toronto Blue Jays Free Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Blue Jays, ATS Winner – Orioles, O/U – UNDER
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Notes
Betting Notes
Baltimore has recorded 12 extra-base hits over its last five outings. Toronto has 15 XBH over its last five.
The Blue Jays have dropped four of their last five games SU.
Baltimore fielders have committed five errors over their last five games, compared to 10 errors for Toronto over its last five.
The Orioles have hit 10 home runs in their last 10 games. The Blue Jays have hit 15 over their last 10.
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