In the first of a three-game series between the Baltimore Orioles (13-16) and the Toronto Blue Jays (13-16) at Camden Yards, Ubaldo Jimenez (2-2, 2.36 ERA) and Marco Estrada (1-1, 2.93 ERA) get the start. The game gets underway at 7:05 p.m. ET on Monday, May. 11 and will air on RSN and MASN.
Jimenez has a 4.29 ERA and a 4-4 record in his career against the Blue Jays, and faces a strong Toronto offense that’s hitting .261 on the year. Jimmy Paredes (.355, 16 Rs, 5 HRs, 15 RBIs, 1 SB) played well again yesterday, going 2 for 4 with one run. In his career against the Orioles, Estrada is 0-0 with a 4.50 ERA. He gets a solid Baltimore offense that’s batting .269. Russell Martin (.293, 22 Rs, 7 HRs, 19 RBIs, 2 SBs) went 1 for 4 yesterday with one RBI.
Baltimore, a -126 favorite, will look to capitalize at home against Toronto. The Over/Under (O/U) for the matchup is eight runs. The Orioles perform well as a favorite with an 8-5 record, but haven’t fared as well with the overall money line (-176). They are 3-1 as the favorite over their last 10 games. The Orioles have one of the most prolific offenses in the entire AL, averaging 4.9 runs per game. The Orioles lead the AL in hits at home with 10.4 per game. Over their past 10 games, Baltimore’s pitchers have been playing lights out, only allowing 3.2 runs per game, below their season average of 4.5.
Across the field, the Blue Jays have a subpar record of 6-10 when they are the underdog and are -14 overall with the money line. Over the past 10 matchups, they are 6-4 SU and have played poorly as the underdog with a 1-4 record. The Blue Jays are the number one overall scoring offense in the AL, averaging 5.5 runs per game so far. Toronto is one of the top hitting teams in the league with 109 extra base hits.
The Blue Jays had the upper hand against the Orioles in their previous six games this season, earning a 5-1 record. This game will feature Estrada (RHP) on the mound against the Orioles, who have an 11-13 record when they take on a right-handed starter. The right-handed Jimenez will take the mound against the Blue Jays, who have an 11-14 record against righty starters this season.
Predictions: SU Winner – BAL, O/U – Over
Notes
When leading after 7 innings, Toronto is 7-4, while Baltimore is 5-5.
The Orioles managed to give up eight walks in their last game. They’ll have to pick it up against the Blue Jays who are coming in with a 2-0 record against opponents who give up that many walks or more.
When they are outhit, the Orioles are 0-8. The Blue Jays have a 2-13 record when opponents outhit them.
Ranking sixth in home runs, Toronto has hit 37 this season. Baltimore ranks fourth with 38 home runs.
Ranking sixth, Toronto is in the top 10 of the league in hits, notching 8.74 per game. Baltimore ranks in the top five at fifth with 9.11.
Baltimore and Toronto both rank in the top five of the league for their on-base plus slugging percentage. Baltimore sits at third with an OPS of .770 and Toronto ranks fourth with an OPS of .767.
The Blue Jays are 9-12 in games where they allow one or more home runs. The Orioles are 7-11 when they allow at least one homer.
