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Baltimore Ravens at Pittsburgh Steelers – Free Week 4 Betting Prediction

Charles LeClaire-USA TODAY Sports

The Baltimore Ravens and Pittsburgh Steelers will face off on the grass at Heinz Field. This Sunday Night Football game gets going at 8:20 p.m. ET and fans can catch it live by tuning in to NBC.

Baltimore Ravens vs. Pittsburgh Steelers Betting Preview

In this Sunday AFC game, Pittsburgh is projected as the favorite and the team’s currently giving up 3 points. The Ravens are also receiving +130 moneyline odds while the Steelers are -150. There should be multiple solid live betting scenarios in this game.

The Ravens are 2-1 against the spread (ATS) and have gained 0.9 units this season. The team has posted an O/U record of 2-1. The Steelers are down 1.7 units for moneyline bettors this year. They’re 0-2 ATS and have an O/U record of 2-0.

The Ravens have gone 2-1 straight up (SU), including 0-1 SU against AFC North opponents. The Steelers are 1-1-1 SU overall and 0-0 SU against divisional foes.

The Ravens are coming off a resounding 27-14 win over Denver in Week 3. Joe Flacco completed 25-of-40 passes for 277 yards and one touchdown. Alex Collins (68 yards on 18 rushes, one TD) mounted the ground attack in the win while Michael Crabtree (seven receptions, 61 yards) and John Brown (five catches, 86 yards) manned the receiving duties.

Pittsburgh is coming off of a 30-27 win over Tampa Bay in Week 3. The defensive secondary allowed the Buccaneers to air it out for 411 yards and three touchdowns. Mike Evans was a bright spot in the loss, recording 137 yards and a score on six catches for Tampa Bay. For Pittsburgh, Ben Roethlisberger completed 30-of-38 passes for 353 yards, three touchdowns and one interception. James Conner (61 yards on 15 rush attempts) mounted the ground attack in the win while JuJu Smith-Schuster (nine receptions, 116 yards) and Antonio Brown (six catches, 50 yards, one TD) led the pass-catching corps.

Baltimore has run the ball on 38.7 percent of its offensive possessions this year while Pittsburgh has a rush percentage of 33.5 percent. The Ravens have rushed for 87 yards/game (including 66 per game against North opponents) and have six scores via handoffs this year. The Steelers are totaling 90 rushing yards per game (159 in conference) and have four total rush TDs.

The Ravens offensive scheme has averaged 304 yards in the air overall (376 per game versus conference opposition) and has six passing TDs so far. The Steelers have produced an astonishing 380 pass yards per contest (335.0 in the AFC) and have seven total pass scores.

Baltimore seems to hold an advantage in both defensive facets. The team’s allowed opponents to run for an average of 104 yards and pass for 185 yards per game. The Pittsburgh defense has given up 311.3 yards per game to opposing passers and 122.3 yards per game on the ground. The Ravens are allowing an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of only 3.84 to opposing QBs, while the Steelers have given up a 6.85 ANY/A.

Offensively, Flacco has amassed 513 passing yards this season, and has connected on 68 percent of his 74 attempts with four passing scores and has yet to throw an interception. He’s got a 7.55 adjusted net yards per pass attempt overall, although that number is 5.88 over the last two games.

In the home locker room, Ben Roethlisberger has connected on 53-of-79 passes for 688 yards, four TDs and four INTs. Roethlisberger’s ANY/A stands at 6.37 for the season and 8.35 over his last two games.

NFL Pick: Baltimore Ravens at Pittsburgh Steelers

SU Winner – Ravens, ATS Winner – Ravens

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Notes

Team Betting Notes

Baltimore was favored by 6 points in its last game and the O/U going into it was 46.5. The under cashed and Baltimore covered in the 27-14 win over Denver.

As a team, Baltimore has averaged 2.9 yards per carry over its past two contests.

Pittsburgh has averaged 3.2 yards per carry over its last two.

Pittsburgh has lost three fumbles this season while Baltimore has lost two.

Over its last three matches, Baltimore is 2-1 ATS and the over cashed in two of those three.

Pittsburgh was favored by 4 points in its last outing and the Over/Under going into it was 53. The over cashed and Pittsburgh failed to cover in the 30-27 victory over Tampa Bay.

The Ravens offense has recorded two pass plays of 40 or more yards, while the Steelers have put up four such plays.

The Baltimore defense has yet to allow a passing play of 40+ yards, while Pittsburgh has given up two such plays.

The Baltimore offense has created zero rushing plays of 20 yards or more, while Pittsburgh has created two such runs.

The Ravens defense has allowed two rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while the Steelers have given up three such runs.

The Pittsburgh defensive unit has tallied 11 sacks on the year while Baltimore has nine.

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Written by GMS Previews

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