The No. 12 Oklahoma Sooners (15-5, 5-3 Big 12) will attempt to lengthen their nine-game home winning streak when they meet the Baylor Bears (12-9, 2-6 Big 12), who look to end their six-game road losing streak. The game starts at 9 p.m. ET on Tuesday, January 30, 2018, and will air on ESPN2.
The Over/Under (O/U) for the game opened at 156.5 points with Oklahoma set as a 7.5-point favorite.
Baylor Bears vs. Oklahoma Sooners ATS Prediction
In the Bears’ last game, they were dismantled by the No. 20 Florida Gators, 81-60. Florida’s free throw rate was their largest advantage over Baylor. The Gators had a rate of 0.250 (below their season average of 0.268), while the Bears posted a mark of 0.150 (below their season average of 0.240). Terry Maston led Baylor in scoring with 14 points on 5-for-10 shooting.
The Sooners lost to the Alabama Crimson Tide in their last game, 80-73. Alabama’s free throw rate was their largest advantage over Oklahoma. The Crimson Tide had a rate of 0.222 (below their season average of 0.279), while the Sooners posted a mark of 0.099 (below their season average of 0.255). With 18 points on 8-for-11 shooting, Khadeem Lattin led Oklahoma in scoring.
The high-octane offense of Oklahoma (22nd in the nation with an offensive efficiency of 115.5) will go head-to-head against the mid-tier defense of Baylor (139th in the nation with a defensive efficiency of 101.2). The Sooners should have the edge on that side of the ball.
Baylor heads into the game with records of 12-9 straight up (SU) and 7-7 against the spread (ATS). Vegas is known to set the total high when the Bears are involved, as nine of their 14 games have ended under the total.
Oklahoma has a phenomenal 15-5 SU record, but they are just 8-11 ATS. Unlike Baylor, games featuring the Sooners have a tendency to finish over the total (63.2 percent).
After the Bears won both contests against the Sooners last season, these teams will clash for the first time this year. In the last contest, Baylor won 60-54. Baylor had a much better offensive rebounding percentage (37.8 vs. 27.5). Oklahoma, meanwhile, had a better turnover percentage (12.4 vs. 17.0).
Baylor Bears vs. Oklahoma Sooners Betting Pick
Prediction: SU Winner – Baylor, ATS Winner – Baylor, O/U – Under
Notes
Betting Notes:
Baylor is 4-4 ATS on the road with 6 unders, 1 over and 1 push.
Oklahoma is 5-4 ATS at home with 6 overs and 3 unders.
Baylor ranks 34th in rebounds allowed per game (31.7) while Oklahoma ranks 246th (38.5).
The Sooners rank 22nd in three pointers attempted per game (27.6) while the Bears rank 222nd (19.4).
Oklahoma averages 16.9 assists per game, which ranks 26th in the NCAA. Baylor ranks 194th in assists allowed per game (14.8).
The Bears rank 29th in blocks per game (4.9) while the Sooners rank 171st in blocks allowed per game (4.6).
Oklahoma ranks 63rd in steals per game (7.1) while Baylor ranks 68th in steals allowed per game (5.7).
Bettings Trends:
In their last five games, Baylor is 2-3 ATS with 3 unders and 2 overs.
Oklahoma is 1-4 ATS with 4 unders and 1 over over their last five games.
The Bears have been outscored by an average of 5.0 points in their last five games. On the season, Baylor has defeated opponents by an average of 7.7 points.
During their last five games, the Sooners have scored an average of 82.0 points per game (8.3 below their season average) and allowed an average of 85.4 points per game (4.0 above their season average).
