The No. 19 Baylor Bears will be at Lloyd Noble Center to square off against the No. 6 Oklahoma Sooners in a Big 12 matchup. Action starts at 8:00 pm ET on Tuesday, Mar. 1 and can be seen on ES2 and ES3.
The Sooners are hoping to rebound after their 76-63 loss to Texas on Saturday. Buddy Hield was the game’s high scorer, putting up 33 points. The Bears, meanwhile, are coming off an 86-71 win over TCU on Saturday. Johnathan Motley led the team in scoring with 22 points on 7-for-12 shooting.
Motley has been hot over the last five games for the Bears, averaging 18.2 points, 6.0 rebounds, 1.0 assist, and 2.0 blocks.
This will be the second matchup of the season between these two teams. The Sooners won the first game 82-72. Jordan Woodard was a top performer in the victory with 20 points, one rebound, seven assists, four steals, and five three-pointers.
The Sooners come into this game 22-6 Straight Up (SU) and 12-14 Against The Spread (ATS). The Sooners come into the game with the 17th-ranked scoring offense in the nation, averaging 81.4 points per game. The Sooners are one of the best in Division I in terms of three-point field goals, making 10.0 shots per game from beyond the arc. Turning to the defensive side, the Sooners are the 14th-best team in the country at blocking shots, averaging 5.5 blocks per game.
As for their opponent, Baylor has a SU record of 21-8 and an ATS record of 9-13-1. Offensively, they average 78.5 points per game, which is good for 49th in the country. The Bears are shooting very well so far with a .374 three-point field goal percentage that ranks 50th in Division I. The Bears have controlled the offensive glass with an average of 13.9 offensive rebounds per game, 13th in the country. The Bears are the better of the two teams when it comes to assist-to-turnover ratio, ranking 14th in Division I at 1.50. When it comes to stealing the ball, the Bears are one of the best in the nation with an average of 8.1 steals per game.
Oklahoma won the last meeting this season between these two teams, moving its SU record against Baylor to 6-4 in their most recent head-to-head meetings. The Sooners also hold the advantage ATS with a record of 7-3. Oklahoma and Baylor each held the edge in three key areas (field goals, rebounds, and three-pointers) once in their last five meetings.
Predictions: SU Winner – Baylor, ATS Winner – Baylor
Notes
Oklahoma is one of the top-scoring teams in the nation, averaging 81.4 points per game (ranked 17th). Baylor, on the other hand, allows 69.5 points per game (ranked 104th).
Oklahoma is one of the top-scoring teams at home, averaging 83.9 points per game (ranked 25th). Baylor, on the other hand, allows 75.7 points per away game (ranked 166th).
Ranked 38th, the Oklahoma Sooners have an offensive rating of 113.6. The Baylor Bears rank 126th with a defensive rating of just 102.6.
The Oklahoma Sooners average 71.7 possessions per game and 1.136 points per possession, while the Baylor Bears earn fewer possessions (67.6) but more points per possession (1.161).
Oklahoma has an average effective field goal percentage of 54.4%. Baylor is an even 6-6 when opponents have a similar or higher effective field goal percentage.
The Oklahoma Sooners average 24.0 three point attempts per game, while the Baylor Bears attempt 16.0. When attempting 20 or more three pointers in a game, Oklahoma has a fantastic record of 18-6, while Baylor is an even 4-4.
The 14th-ranked team in the category, Baylor has an assist-to-turnover ratio of 1.50 this season. Oklahoma ranks 100th with an A/TO of 1.19.
Oklahoma ranks 35th in rebounds per game with 39.9 and Baylor ranks 100th with 37.6 rebounds per game.
Making 8.1 steals per game, Baylor is ranked 21st in the country. Oklahoma has a superb 8-1 record when it allows at least 8 steals.