Following the Ryder Cup, we’re staying in Europe for the Alfred Dunhill Links Championship. It’s an intriguing event that seems to offer some great betting value. Thirteen of the last 17 winners have been either from the United Kingdom or Ireland, and many have been sizable dogs. Tyrell Hatton was on the board at 60/1 when he cashed two years ago and an out-of-form Thorbjorn Olesen cashed as a 240/1 long shot in 2015. So who is worth taking a flier on this week? Here are six golfers to consider betting.
Event Details
Event: Alfred Dunhill Links Championship
Category: European Tour
Date: October 4th-7th, 2018
Location: St. Andrews, Angus and Fife, Scotland
Past Five Winners
2017: Tyrell Hatton
2016: Tyrell Hatton
2015: Thorbjorn Olesen
2014: Oliver Wilson
2013: David Howell
Brooks Koepka +650
Koepka is the favorite at this event and it’s easy to see why. He finished as the runner-up in 2015 and had another Top 10 in 2014. He seems to do well on these linksy type of courses. We saw him have great success at Erin Hills and Shinnecock for both of his U.S. Open wins. And he also has a couple of Top 10’s in the Open Championships. There are some mental hurdles to overcome with the possible dust-up at the Ryder Cup with Dustin Johnson and the lawsuit with the blinded woman/errant tee-shot. That aside, he has a good track record on these types of courses.
Tyrell Hatton +1300
Guys like Tommy Fleetwood and Tony Finau are ahead of him in terms of the odds but that seems somewhat puzzling. In Finau’s case, this is his first time playing here. On top of that, he has just one win on the PGA Tour — the 2016 Puerto Rico Open — so why would you bet him ahead of Hatton? Hatton has won this event in back-to-back years.
Eddie Pepperell +2000
This is player who enters in pretty good form. He has a total of five Top 10’s in the last couple of months, including the Scottish Open and the Open Championship. He also has a decent track record at this event, placing seventh last year.
Ross Fisher +4000
Some people will question Fisher’s form right now, which is fair, but keep in mind that he was playing even worse this time last year going into this event. Even so, he placed second. As a matter of fact, that was the second year in a row he placed second and third time overall. Clearly, this course brings out the best in him.
Tom Lewis +6000
In terms of momentum, he’s got plenty of it entering this event. He’s won two of his last three starts with the lone miss being a third-place result. He also placed third at this event in 2013, so that’s another good sign. At just over 50/1, this is a calculated dart throw.
Matthew Southgate +8000
As mentioned, this course seems to reward the locals. For whatever reason, they’re a little more comfortable with the breezy conditions. Southgate tends to do well on links courses.