I still can’t believe that TCU lost outright to Kansas. Even with the injury to Shawn Robinson, I figured the Horned Frogs would be too much for a Jayhawks team that has been dreadful over the last decade. Although TCU gained almost 200 more yards than Kansas, the Horned Frogs ended up losing 27-26 and that killed my college football teaser last week and prevented me from going over .500 on teaser picks this year. This week, the goal is to get back to .500 and put myself in shape to finish off with a bang in the stretch run. Here is the best teaser pick for Week 10:
Week 1 Teaser: Loser
Week 2 Teaser: Winner
Week 3 Teaser: Winner
Week 4 Teaser: Winner
Week 5 Teaser: Loser
Week 6 Teaser: Loser
Week 7 Teaser: Loser
Week 8 Teaser: Winner
Week 9 Teaser: Loser
Best Teaser Pick for Week 10 (Courtesy of BetDSI)
7-point teaser option at -130 betting odds
Wyoming -6.5 vs. San Jose State
Cincinnati -6 vs. Navy
This week, I’m going to be putting my faith, and money, on two of the best defenses in the Group of Five. Last week, Wyoming rewarded me with a 13-point victory as a short underdog against Colorado State. The Cowboys completely shut down the Rams ground game, allowing just 20 rushing yards on 19 carries.
Related: College Football Betting Guide
The Cowboys should have no problem making San Jose State one-dimensional this week too. The Spartans have one of the worst running games in college football, averaging just two yards per carry. They have not been great through the air either, but at least they have moved the ball somewhat with their passing game. I expect Wyoming to take men outside of the box and count on their front six or front seven to do the job up front so that they can take away the short passing game too.
Offensively, Wyoming has gotten better as well. Two weeks ago, Craig Bohl made the switch from Tyler Vander Waal to Sean Chambers at quarterback and that has led to more production. Chambers is a run-first quarterback that only occasionally passes, but the ground game has really taken off with him calling the shots over the last few games. They nearly knocked off a good Utah State team with this attack two weeks ago, and I don’t see them having much trouble with San Jose State.
Cincinnati is one of the most underrated teams in the country. The Bearcats have the 18th best defense in the nation this year according to S&P+, and they have been fantastic at stopping the run. They are ranked seventh in the nation in run defense per S&P+, and the Bearcats are allowing just 3.4 yards per carry this year.
This is a down year for Navy. The Midshipmen have not been able to find consistency at the quarterback position, and it’s probably time to punt and focus on rebuilding with a 2-6 record through eight games. Navy would have to win out to become bowl eligible, and that is extremely unlikely with road trips to Cincinnati, UCF, and Tulane still to come.
I believe Ken Niumatalolo will use the final month of the season as a springboard for next year, and that Navy will use a lot of younger players from this point forward. He doesn’t have to worry about losing his job considering the success he has had, and a down year is understandable at a service academy.