After a 5-0 hammering at Porto three weeks ago, Liverpool is already in the Quarter-Finals of the UEFA Champions League, and the same thing is with Manchester City who demolished Basel 4-0 on the road. Furthermore, we’ll see two quite exciting matches, as PSG welcomes the defending champions Real Madrid after a 3-1 loss in the first leg, while Tottenham hosts Juventus after a 2-2 stalemate in Turin. However, all these four matchups offer some interesting markets, so let’s see what can we expect and how to bet on the Champions League this week.
PSG vs. REAL MADRID
3-Way: 1: PSG +102; X: +305 Draw; 2: Real Madrid +231 at BetDSI Sportsbook
Spread -0.5: PSG +101; Real Madrid -118
Total +3.5: Over -120; Under -101
Betting Trends and Match Prediction
- PSG lost 3-1 in the first leg
- PSG recorded 19 wins in 19 home matches this season, all 19 with at least two-goal margin
- PSG won nine out of the last ten games in all competitions along with one defeat
- Real Madrid won seven out of their previous ten matches along with one draw and two defeats
- Real Madrid has a 3-1-1 record and a 14:8 goal difference in the last five away tilts
- Real Madrid kept the clean sheet just once in the previous ten matches overall
The Parisians need a two-goal margin win if they want to proceed to the next round of the Champions League, but if the Los Blancos find the net, the things will get tricky, so I think we could see a cautious approach on both sides at the start of the game.
However, the attacking potential of these two teams is enormous, so the bookies are pretty sure both of them will score in this one (the market is set at -310 at the BetDSI Sportsbook), and in that case, PSG will need to bag three goals. Therefore, I’m backing the over as the most probable outcome.
MY PICK: Over 3.5 Goals (-120)
LIVERPOOL vs. PORTO
3-Way: 1: Liverpool -205; X: +350 Draw; 2: Porto +575 at BetDSI Sportsbook
Spread -1: Liverpool -121; Porto +108
Total +3: Over +110; Under -130
Betting Trends and Match Prediction
- Liverpool has a 5-0 lead from the first leg in Porto
- Liverpool won four in a row overall, conceding one goal in the process
- Liverpool has a 6-3-1 record in the last 10 matches at home
- Porto won four in a row overall with a 15:3 goal difference
- Porto won three consecutive away tilts with a 12:2 goal difference
- Porto lost just one out of their 19 away games this season
Liverpool has an enormous advantage from the Champions League first leg, so they can sit back and look after their own net, while the visitors will surely want some kind of revenge after a true humiliation in front of the home fans. This should be a nice prescription for some goals, as Liverpool is one of the best teams in the world when it comes to counter-attacking.Therefore, I’ll go with the over in this one.
MY PICK: Over 3 Goals (+110)
MANCHESTER CITY vs. BASEL
3-Way: 1: Manchester City -715; X: +785 Draw; 2: Basel +1925 at BetDSI Sportsbook
Spread -2.5: Manchester City +123; Basel -140
Total +3.5: Over +115; Under -140
Betting Trends and Match Prediction
- Manchester City has a 4-0 advantage from the first leg in Basel
- Manchester City won three matches in a row without conceding
- Manchester City won 13 consecutive home games
- Basel lost three straight games without finding the net
- Basel won four out of their previous five matches on the road
- No Both Teams to Score in the last eight Basel’s games in all competitions
The Citizens are already in the Quarter-Finals of the Champions League, as they are a far better team than Basel, while the visitors are in a pretty bad form recently, so the bookies expect to see an easy job for the home side. The only question is how many times will they score in this one, while the fans can expect to see some changes in the Manchester City’s starting eleven. However, the new faces will have a huge motive to prove their worth to the team, which should take this clash into the over.
MY PICK: Over 3.5 Goals (+110)
TOTTENHAM vs. JUVENTUS
3-Way: 1: Tottenham +120; X: +243 Draw; 2: Juventus +241 at BetDSI Sportsbook
Spread -0.5: Tottenham +118; Juventus -137
Total +2.5: Over +100; Under -120
Betting Trends and Match Prediction
- Tottenham has a slight advantage after a 2-2 draw in the first leg
- Tottenham is unbeaten for 17 straight matches overall
- Tottenham won seven home games in a row, conceding just once in the process
- Juventus won three straight tilts with an identical 1-0 result
- Juventus kept the clean sheet in 13 out of their last 15 matches in all competitions
- Juventus won ten away games in a row, keeping the net intact nine on nine occasions
Juventus will have to score at Wembley if they want to eliminate the Spurs, but the bookies expect to see a tight clash despite a high-scoring first leg, as the visitors are well-known of their tremendous defensive work. The Italian side is also a more experienced team than Tottenham, while the hosts are playing in a great form recently, which guarantees a true spectacle this Wednesday. The Spurs will play with a lot of pressure on their shoulders, and that is the reason why I favor Juventus here.
MY PICK: Double Chance Draw or Juventus to Win (-140)
ADDITIONAL PICK: Juventus to Win Matchup (+200)
