Bayern Munich should have an easy job to reach the Champions League Quarter-Finals after hammering Besiktas 5-0 at home in the first leg, while all other remaining matchups are still open, so excitements are guaranteed this Tuesday, March 13th, and Wednesday, March 14th, 2018.
AS Roma welcomes Shakhtar after a 2-1 defeat in the first leg, Manchester United welcomes Sevilla after a nil-nil draw at Ramon Sanchez Pizjuan, while Barcelona meets Chelsea at Camp Nou after a 1-1 stalemate in London, so let’s see what can we expect from these games and how to bet on the Champions League this week.
AS ROMA vs. SHAKHTAR
3-Way: 1: AS Roma -155; X: +310 Draw; 2: Shakhtar +434 at BetDSI Sportsbook
Spread -1: AS Roma +109; Shakhtar -123
Total +3: Over -103; Under -112
Betting Trends and Match Prediction
- AS Roma lost 2-1 in the first leg
- AS Roma has a 2-0-3 record in their last five home matches, failing to score on two occasions
- AS Roma kept the clean sheet three times in their previous ten games overall
- Shakhtar won five matches in a row in all competitions
- Shakhtar kept the clean sheet in four out of their last five games overall
- Shakhtar scored at least a goal in each of their previous ten matches
The hosts need a 1-0 victory to reach the next round of the Champions League, so they could easily take a patient approach in this clash. However, if the visitors find the net, AS Roma will need to score two goals to ensure the extra-time. Shakhtar was a better team in the first leg of this matchup, showing they are pretty dangerous in the final third, so I will go with the over here, while the bookies also favor goals on both sides of the field, as they set the market on both teams to score at -160.
MY PICK: Over 3 Goals (-103)
MANCHESTER UNITED vs. SEVILLA
3-Way: 1: Manchester United -170; X: +290 Draw; 2: Sevilla +540 at BetDSI Sportsbook
Spread -1: Manchester United +109; Sevilla -122
Total +2.5: Over -104; Under -114
Betting Trends and Match Prediction
- Manchester United is unbeaten for five matches in a row overall (4-1-0 record)
- Manchester United won five straight games on the home soil
- Manchester United suffered just one defeat in 20 home matches this season (17-2-1 record)
- Sevilla has a 2-1-2 record in their last five encounters overall
- Sevilla won two games in a row on the road
- Sevilla took 25 shots in the first leg against Manchester United, still failing to score
Sevilla was a far better rival in the first leg at Ramon Sanchez Pizjuan, but they just couldn’t find the way to score against magnificent David De Gea (0-0 draw), so they will have a difficult job to beat the Red Devils in the second leg, although they will proceed with any potential stalemate besides a nil-nil draw that leads to the extra-time. On the other side, Jose Mourinho’s team put on a great performance against Liverpool on last weekend, while they are a more experienced team than Sevilla, so I’ll go with the hosts here.
MY PICK: Manchester United AH-1 (+109)
BESIKTAS vs. BAYERN MUNICH
3-Way: 1: Besiktas +420; X: +360 Draw; 2: Bayern Munich -170 at BetDSI Sportsbook
Spread +1: Besiktas -107; Bayern Munich -103
Total +3.5: Over +112; Under -136
Betting Trends and Match Prediction
- Besiktas lost 5-0 in the first leg in Munich
- Besiktas won two straight matches without conceding
- Besiktas won eight out of their last ten games at home, along with two draws
- Bayern Munich won seven away matches in a row
- Bayern Munich kept the clean sheet in four consecutive games overall
- Four out of the previous five Bayern’s matches on the road had at least three goals in the total
The Bavarians have a 5-0 lead from the first leg in Munich, so they just need to finish the job in Istanbul this Wednesday, while on the other side, Besiktas can play in a relaxed manner and try to, at least, find the net in front of the home fans. The bookies set the price on both teams to score at -190, so I will go with the over, despite the fact that this matchup is just about won by Bayern Munich.
MY PICK: Over 3.5 Goals (+112)
BARCELONA vs. CHELSEA
3-Way: 1: Barcelona -250; X: +390 Draw; 2: Chelsea +720 at BetDSI Sportsbook
Spread -1.5: Barcelona +115; Juventus -132
Total +3: Over +105; Under -125
Betting Trends and Match Prediction
- Barcelona is undefeated for 13 straight matches overall
- Barcelona lost just once in 21 home matches this season (18-2-1 record)
- Barcelona won only one H2H duel against Chelsea at home, along with four draws
- Chelsea has a 2-1-2 record in their previous five games overall
- Chelsea lost four away matches in a row
- Chelsea couldn’t score in four out of their last ten games on the road
Barcelona is a huge favorite to reach the Quarter-Finals of the Champions League, but they will have a tricky task in the second leg, although they will play on the home soil, as Chelsea could be a tough opponent. The visitors’ manager Antonio Conte is well-known for his tactical maneuvers, so this clash is a true derby of the Champions League Round 16. However, Chelsea had some problems on the road in the last couple of weeks, while their defense didn’t look good enough to resist the mighty Barcelona’s attack.
MY PICK: Over 3 Goals (+105)
