As the Europa League Round of 16 second legs are set for this Thursday, March 15th, 2018, eight quality matchups are waiting for us with plenty of excitements as only Atletico Madrid has a three-goal lead from the first 90 minutes, so let’s see how to bet on the Europa League this week and beat some lines, as each game has a lot to offer.
LOKOMOTIV MOSCOW vs. ATLETICO MADRID
3-Way: 1: Lokomotiv Moscow +280; X: +235 Draw; 2: Atletico Madrid +110 at BetDSI Sportsbook
Spread +0.5: Lokomotiv Moscow -127; Atletico Madrid +108
Total +2: Over -145; Under +120
Betting Trends and Match Prediction
- Lokomotiv Moscow easily lost the first leg 3-0
- Lokomotiv Moscow has a 3-1-1 record in the last five matches overall
- Lokomotiv Moscow suffered just one defeat in the previous nine home matches
- Atletico Madrid has a 4-0-1 record in the last five games in all competitions
- Atletico Madrid won three out of their last four away matches
The hosts have a mountain to climb here, so it seems like Atleti are already in the Quarter-Finals of the Europa League. However, Lokomotiv Moscow will try to score once in front of the home fans, while the visitors should score here, too, as they are a better team, and there will be a lot of space for they lethal counter-attacks.
MY PICK: Over 2 Goals (-145)
ADDITIONAL PICK: Atletico Madrid to Win (+110)
ATHLETIC BILBAO vs. MARSEILLE
3-Way: 1: Athletic Bilbao +130; X: +250 Draw; 2: Marseille +205 at BetDSI Sportsbook
Spread 0: Athletic Bilbao -150; Marseille +125
Total +2.5: Over -115; Under -105
Betting Trends and Match Prediction
- Athletic Bilbao lost the first leg 3-1
- Athletic Bilbao has a 2-1-2 record in the last five games overall
- Athletic Bilbao won just three out of their last ten home matches along with five draws and two losses
- Marseille has a 1-1-3 record in the last five away games, failing to score three times in the process
- Marseille conceded in each of their previous six matches in all competitions
This is certainly one of the most interesting Europa League matchups, and it’s pretty tricky job to predict who will get a win here. Athletic Bilbao is playing pretty tightly at home throughout the season, as just five out of their 21 home games had more than two goals in the total, but if the visitors find the net, then Athletic Bilbao will have to push forward in numbers. However, the hosts have to score at least two goals if they want to proceed.
MY PICK: Over 2.5 Goals (-115)
DYNAMO KIEV vs. LAZIO
3-Way: 1: Dynamo Kiev +235; X: +255 Draw; 2: Lazio +115 at BetDSI Sportsbook
Spread +0.5: Dynamo Kiev -135; Lazio +115
Total +2.5: Over -125; Under +105
Betting Trends and Match Prediction
- The first leg was finished in a 2-2 stalemate
- Dynamo Kiev has a 2-2-1 record in the last five encounters
- Dynamo Kiev is unbeaten in 18 home matches this season, recording 15 wins and 3 stalemates
- Lazio won just two out of their last ten away matches along with four draws and four losses
- Four out of the previous six Lazio’s games had more than two goals in the total
Lazio looked like a better team in the first leg in Rome last week, while they have to score here if they want to qualify for the next round of the Europa League competition. On the other side, Dynamo Kiev will win the matchup even with a 1-1 draw here, so they can sit back and wait for their chances on counter-attacks, so this clash promises some goals on both sides of the pitch.
MY PICK: Over 2.5 Goals (-125)
VIKTORIA PLZEN vs. SPORTING
3-Way: 1: Viktoria Plzen +175; X: +230 Draw; 2: Sporting +160 at BetDSI Sportsbook
Spread 0: Viktoria Plzen -100; Sporting -115
Total +2.5: Over +105; Under -125
Betting Trends and Match Prediction
- Viktoria Plzen lost 2-0 in the first leg
- Viktoria Plzen has a 1-3-2 record since the winter break
- Viktoria Plzen was beaten only twice at home this season along with 14 wins and two draws
- Sporting has a 3-1-1 record in the last five matches overall
- Sporting conceded in each of their previous 14 away games
Sporting easily won the first leg last Thursday, and one goal here should be enough to make it through to the Quarter-Finals of the Europa League, as in that case, the hosts will need to score four goals to proceed. However, Plzen managed to score in each but one home match this season, so they certainly stand a chance of making an upset here.
MY PICK: Both Teams to Score YES (-125)
ZENIT vs. RB LEIPZIG
3-Way: 1: Zenit +160; X: +240 Draw; 2: RB Leipzig +175 at BetDSI Sportsbook
Spread 0: Zenit -110; RB Leipzig -100
Total +2.5: Over -120; Under -100
Betting Trends and Match Prediction
- Zenit lost 2-1 in the first leg after they were two goals down
- Zenit has a 1-2-2 record since the winter break, still keeping the clean sheet on three occasions
- Zenit is unbeaten in the last five home matches, recording four wins and one stalemate
- RB Leipzig has a 1-2-3 record in their previous six games overall
- RB Leipzig scored eight goals in four European away matches this season, conceding seven in a return
This is another pretty tight matchup, as Zenit needs a 1-0 victory to proceed further. The hosts rely on a tough defense, while on the other side will be attacking-minded RB Leipzig team, so this is a tricky one. The bookies favor both teams to score in the match at -150, but I will go with the German side, as I think they will qualify for the next round, while the price on the Red Bulls to win the matchup is at -300.
MY PICK: RB Leipzig AH 0 (-100)
ARSENAL vs. AC MILAN
3-Way: 1: Arsenal +105; X: +265 Draw; 2: AC Milan +260 at BetDSI Sportsbook
Spread -0.5: Arsenal +105; AC Milan -120
Total +2.5: Over -125; Under +105
Betting Trends and Match Prediction
- Arsenal won 2-0 in the first leg
- Arsenal has a 4-0-6 record in the last ten games in all competitions
- Arsenal lost three out of their last five home matches along with two victories
- AC Milan didn’t concede for five straight games on the road, winning four of them
- A 2-0 defeat against Arsenal was AC Milan’s only defeat in their last 15 matches overall
Arsenal completely outplayed Rossoneri in the first leg a week ago, so the visitors will have to try to score at least two times here, which is quite possible against unpredictable Arsenal’s defense. On the other hand, after five straight clashes on the road without conceding, AC Milan will have a difficult task to save their net one more time.
MY PICK: Over 2.5 Goals (-125)
LYON vs. CSKA MOSCOW
3-Way: 1: Lyon -140; X: +265 Draw; 2: CSKA Moscow +435 at BetDSI Sportsbook
Spread -0.5: Lyon -140; CSKA Moscow +115
Total +2.5: Over +110; Under -135
Betting Trends and Match Prediction
- Lyon won 1-0 in the first leg in Moscow
- Lyon has a 2-2-1 record in the previous five tilts overall
- Lyon’s six straight matches had less than three goals in the total
- CSKA Moscow has a 3-1-1 record since the winter break
- CSKA Moscow kept the clean sheet in three out of their last five away matches
The Kids have survived the Russian winter, but with a one-goal lead in their hands, there is still a lot of work to do. The hosts are well-known for their tough defensive play, and they will probably take a cautious approach, looking to break the deadlock on the counter, but if the hosts take the lead, this match could be easily finished in the over.
MY PICK: Lyon to Win (-140)
ADDITIONAL PICK: Over 2.5 Goals (+110)
SALZBURG vs. DORTMUND
3-Way: 1: Salzburg +215; X: +260 Draw; 2: Dortmund +120 at BetDSI Sportsbook
Spread +0.5: Salzburg -140; Dortmund +120
Total +3: Over +105; Under -125
Betting Trends and Match Prediction
- Salzburg won the first leg 2-1
- Salzburg is undefeated for 32 matches in a row in all competitions
- Salzburg won five straight home matches with a 16:2 goal difference
- Dortmund is unbeaten for five away matches in a row, recording two victories and three draws
- Dortmund won just one out of their last five games overall
Salzburg put on a magnificent performance in the first leg, deservedly grabbing that 2-1 victory, while everyone expects to see a much better display from Dortmund here. The visitors will have to score at least two goals if they want to proceed to the next round of the Europa League, and they are certainly capable of doing that, so I’m backing the over in this one, while the market on Dortmund to win the matchup is set at +225.
MY PICK: Over 3 Goals (+105)
