The Boise State Broncos (18-10) finish out the regular season on the road at Viejas Arena at Aztec Bowl when they battle with the San Diego State Aztecs (21-7). The game begins at 6:00 pm ET on Saturday, Feb. 27 and will air on CCS.
The Aztecs beat Wyoming 73-61 on Wednesday. Trey Kell was the team’s high scorer with 24 points on 7-for-14 shooting. The Broncos, meanwhile, are coming off an 81-69 win against UNLV on Tuesday. Anthony Drmic was the team’s top scorer, accounting for 21 points on 7-for-16 shooting.
This will be the second matchup of the season between these two teams. The Aztecs won the first game 56-53. In the loss, James Webb III had a double-double with 17 points and 11 rebounds.
The Aztecs enter the game with records of 21-7 Straight Up (SU) and 11-10-3 Against The Spread (ATS). The Aztecs have seen an uptick in scoring as of late, averaging 80.4 points during the last 10 games compared to their season average of 67.0 points per game. The rebounding edge goes to the Aztecs in this matchup, who are one of the top rebounding teams in the nation with an average of 39.4 boards per game. The San Diego State defense has done poorly against opposing offenses during the last 10 games, allowing an average of 76.0 points per game, well above their season average of 60.1. Teams have to fight for open shots against the Aztecs, who have the best opponent field-goal percentage in the country at .370. The Aztecs are the 15th-best team in the country at blocking shots, averaging 5.5 blocks per game.
Across the court, the Broncos head into the game with records of 13-12-1 ATS and 18-10 SU. The Broncos will be looking to pick it up in this one after recent offensive struggles. In their most recent 10 games, their scoring has dropped to 69.2 PPG, compared to 67.0 for the duration of the season. The Broncos average 70.4 points allowed per game, but have improved upon those numbers in the past 10 games, allowing 60.2 points per game during that span.
San Diego State won the last meeting this season between these two teams, bumping its SU record to 7-3 over Boise State in their most recent meetings. However, Boise State holds the advantage ATS with a record of 6-4. San Diego State has led in three key areas (field goals, rebounds, and three-pointers) once over the last five matchups. Boise State has never had the edge in all three categories.
Predictions: SU Winner – Boise, ATS Winner – Boise
Notes
“San Diego State is 14-1 SU in its last 15 games “.
“The total has gone OVER in 4 of San Diego State’s last 5 games “.
“San Diego State is 2-5-1 ATS in its last 8 games at home”.
“San Diego State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home”.
“The total has gone OVER in 4 of San Diego State’s last 6 games at home”.
“San Diego State is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Boise State”.
“San Diego State is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games when playing Boise State”.
“The total has gone UNDER in 5 of San Diego State’s last 5 games when playing Boise State”.
“San Diego State is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Boise State”.
“San Diego State is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Boise State”.
“The total has gone UNDER in 5 of San Diego State’s last 6 games when playing at home against Boise State”.
Boise State averages 78.4 points per game this season. San Diego State is one of the highest-ranked teams in points allowed, giving up just 60.1 points per game (ranked fourth).
The San Diego State Aztecs have the best defense in the country, giving up just 92.0 points per 100 possessions. The Boise State Broncos rank 60th in offense, scoring 111.9 points in the same number of possessions.
The Boise State Broncos average a field goal percentage of 45.4% this season. The San Diego State Aztecs are a perfect 2-0 in games where opponents have a FG% of 45.4% or greater.
The San Diego State Aztecs rank higher based on their field goal percentage (290th) than their effective field goal percentage (308th). The Boise State Broncos rank higher based on their effective field goal percentage (63rd) than their field goal percentage (108th).
The San Diego State Aztecs average 5.5 blocks per game, the 15th-ranked team in the country. The Boise State Broncos rank a lowly 328th in blocking with just 2.0 per game.
San Diego State ranks 91st in offensive rebounding. Boise State ranks 210th in defensive rebounding.
On average, San Diego State makes 5.4 steals per game. Boise State has a winning 8-5 record when it gives up at least 5 steals.
