The San Jose State Spartans (8-21) look to end their six-game losing streak when they meet the Boise State Broncos (20-10) at San Jose State Event Center. Action starts at 5:00 pm ET on Saturday, Mar. 5 and will air on CI.
The Spartans lost a close one to Wyoming 81-78 on Wednesday. Frank Rogers was the team’s leading scorer, putting up 15 points. The Broncos are coming off a 76-57 win against Nevada on Wednesday. Anthony Drmic played well and claimed his first double-double of the season, posting 22 points and 11 rebounds.
James Webb III has been on a tear over the last five games for the Broncos, averaging 17.8 points, 10.8 rebounds, 1.2 assists, 1.8 steals, 1.2 blocks, and 0.8 three-pointers.
This will be the second matchup of the season between these two teams. The Broncos won the first game 94-69. Webb III put up a double-double in the victory with 24 points and 18 rebounds.
Even with a subpar Straight Up (SU) record of 8-21, the Spartans are 17-11 Against The Spread (ATS) in those games. San Jose State has averaged 77.1 points per game over the last 10 games, higher than its season average of 70.9.
Over on the other bench, the Broncos have records of 15-12-1 ATS and 20-10 SU. Offensively, the Broncos have really sputtered in the last 10 games. Their season average has fallen to 77.9 points per game after averaging only 64.8 during that stretch. One advantage for the Broncos could be San Jose State’s high fouls per game average of 22.2.
Boise State won the last meeting this season between these two teams, moving its SU record against San Jose State to 9-1 in their most recent head-to-head meetings. Additionally, Boise State leads the matchup ATS with a record of 7-3. Boise State held the edge in field goals, rebounds, and three-pointers four times, while San Jose State was never able to do so in their most recent five games.
Predictions: SU Winner – Boise, ATS Winner – Boise
Notes
Boise State averages 77.9 points per game (ranked 58th). San Jose State, on the other hand, allows 74.0 points per game (ranked 187th).
In its last game, Boise State won by a margin of 19 points. San Jose State is 3-6 in games decided by a margin of 18 points or more. Boise State has a 7-0 record in blowouts.
Ranked 68th, the Boise State Broncos have an offensive rating of 111.0. The San Jose State Spartans rank 155th with a defensive rating of just 104.8.
San Jose State has an average field goal percentage of 42.7%. Boise State is a winning 13-8 when opponents have a similar or higher field goal percentage.
The San Jose State Spartans and the Boise State Broncos both rank higher in average effective field goal percentage when compared to their field goal percentages. San Jose State is 247th and 241st in the nation for FG% and eFG% respectively, while Boise State is 106th and 64th in these categories.
San Jose State ranks 90th in assists, registering 14.8 per game. Boise State performs worse at 162nd with 13.6 assists per game.
On average, San Jose State forces a turnover rate of 17.5%. When Boise State turns over the ball at a similar or higher rate, the team has a solid 10-4 record.
