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Boston Celtics vs Milwaukee Bucks Odds and Pick

The Milwaukee Bucks will host a contest against the Boston Celtics at the BMO Harris Bradley Center. Action begins at 8:00 pm ET on Tuesday, Nov. 10 and can be seen on CNE, FWi and C+D.

The Bucks enter this game hoping for similar success after topping the Nets 94-86 on Saturday. Jerryd Bayless was a key piece, recording his first double-double of the season with 19 points and 10 assists. The Celtics, meanwhile, are coming off a 118-98 win against the Wizards on Friday. Kelly Olynyk played well for Boston, registering 19 points, seven rebounds, and four steals.

The Bucks are a slim one-point favorite at home against Boston. The matchup has an estimated Over/Under (O/U) of 201 points. The Bucks have gone 4-3 Straight Up (SU) and 3-4 Against The Spread (ATS). They are 4-3 SU and 3-4 ATS against the Eastern Conference. The Bucks lead the NBA in free throw percentage, shooting an impressive .836 from the free throw line. Milwaukee is one of the league’s top scoring teams off turnovers with an average of 20.7 points per game.

In the other locker room, the Celtics have 2-3 SU and ATS records. The Celtics convert their free throws at a high percentage, ranking second in the league at .827. Shifting to the other side of the court, the Celtics allow the fewest opponent three-pointers made in the league with 39 (7.0 per game).

The conference foes meet for what will be their first head-to-head battle of the season. Boston won the last game in the matchup, but the win was not enough to overtake Milwaukee in the most recent head-to-head series. Its record is now 4-6 SU over the last 10 meetings. With a 5-4-1 record, the Celtics have the advantage ATS.

Predictions: SU Winner – Bos, ATS Winner – Bos, O/U – Under

Notes

Milwaukee is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games.

The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Milwaukee’s last 5 games.

The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Milwaukee’s last 6 games at home.

Milwaukee is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games at home.

Milwaukee is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Boston.

Milwaukee is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games when playing Boston.

The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Milwaukee’s last 8 games when playing at home against Boston.

Milwaukee is 1-5-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing at home against Boston.

On average, Boston puts up 103.6 points per game (ranked seventh). Milwaukee ranks 16th in points allowed per game with 101.0.

When opponents score fewer than 100 points, the Milwaukee Bucks are a perfect 4-0 this season. When they fail to hit triple digits, the Boston Celtics are a winless 0-2.

Milwaukee has not won a game this season (0-3) when allowing 100 or more points. On the other hand, Boston has a winning 2-1 record when it hits triple digits.

The Bucks have an offensive rating of 102.5 (ranked 10th). The Celtics rank sixth for their defensive rating of 96.1.

Milwaukee averages fewer possessions per game than Boston, with 95.3 compared to 105.4. However, the Bucks score an average of 1.025 points per possession, more than the .983 that the Celtics score.

Boston has an average effective field goal percentage of 46.1%. Milwaukee is a losing 1-3 when opponents have a similar or higher effective field goal percentage.

The Milwaukee Bucks, with an assist to turnover ratio of 1.62, rank ninth in the NBA. The Boston Celtics have a lower A/TO (1.38), ranking 18th.

The Milwaukee Bucks are one of the worst rebounding teams in the league with just 38.1 per game. The Boston Celtics average 45.2 rebounds (ranked 14th).

The Boston Celtics are the fourth-ranked team in offensive rebounds, while the Milwaukee Bucks are the 30th-ranked team in defensive rebounds.

Ranked fifth, Milwaukee averages a forced turnover percentage of 17.1% this season. When the Celtics suffer a turnover rate equal to or exceeding this, the team is winless with a 0-1 record.

Written by GMS Previews

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