The Boston Red Sox will take on the Atlanta Braves at SunTrust Park. This interleague showdown will get going at 7:35 p.m. ET and fans looking to watch it can tune in to New England Sports Network.
Boston Red Sox vs. Atlanta Braves Odds
Boston (-125) is entering this game as the favorite over Atlanta (+115) and oddsmakers have the Over/Under for this night game at 9 runs (-105 for the under and -115 for the over). The game’s most recent runline odds stand at +120 for picking the Red Sox -1.5 runs and -140 for the Braves +1.5.
The Red Sox have gone 95-44 SU this year and are 82-56 against the spread (ATS). They’ve gained 30.1 units for moneyline bettors and 24.9 units ATS. The Braves, on the other hand, are 76-61 SU and 70-65 ATS. The team has gained 17.9 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 1.9 units ATS.
Braves games have an over/under record of 62-67-6 in 2018. The Red Sox have an over/under record of 64-68-6.
Rick Porcello is getting the nod for Boston. The right-handed Porcello is 15-7 with a 4.27 ERA and 171 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Braves this year and did not record a start against them in 2017, either.
The Braves are turning to lefty Sean Newcomb (11-7, 3.85 ERA), who has 138 strikeouts and 69 walks as well as a WHIP of 1.32. Newcomb is 0-0 with four strikeouts and a 9.00 ERA in one start against Boston this year.
Atlanta’s pitching staff has allowed 4.0 runs per game overall this season as a unit. The club’s starters have an ERA of 3.51, a WHIP of 1.22 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 8.6. The bullpen has a 3.95 ERA, 1.33 WHIP and 9.0 K/9.
The Atlanta hitters are putting up 4.7 runs per contest, including 3.7 per game over its last 10 games and 3.6 per game over their last five. The team has slashed .238/.294/.378 over its last five matchups and is 2-3 SU during that span.
The Braves’ batters have been led by first baseman Freddie Freeman and right fielder Nick Markakis. Freeman is hitting .306/.388/.502 with 20 home runs, 82 RBIs and 84 runs scored, while Markakis has produced a line of .303/.367/.462 with 14 homers, 83 RBIs and 72 runs.
For the visitors, Boston’s pitching staff allowed 3.8 runs per game and its starters own a 3.72 ERA, 1.21 WHIP and 9.56 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 3.44, along with a K/9 of 9.65.
The Red Sox offense has slashed .269/.340/.456 on its way to 5.4 runs scored per game this year, including 5.1 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 4.8 per game over the team’s last five contests (3-2 SU).
J.D. Martinez and Mookie Betts continue to lead Boston’s offense. Martinez is slashing .336/.407/.644 with 39 home runs, 115 RBIs and 102 runs scored. Betts is hitting .338/.426/.631 with 29 homers, 71 RBIs, 110 runs and 26 stolen bases.
The Red Sox have lost 0.9 units and are 16-16 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has cashed in 15 of those games, as opposed to 16 that’ve gone under against lefty starters. On the other hand, the Braves have netted 21.4 units and are 54-42 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over’s hit in 42 of those games, as opposed to 49 that’ve cashed the under.
Boston Red Sox at Atlanta Braves Free MLB Tip
Predictions: SU Winner – Red Sox, ATS Winner – Red Sox, O/U – OVER
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Notes
Betting Trends
The over has cashed in four of Boston’s last seven games.
Atlanta has posted 20.3 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 19.2 over its last five.
Each team has hit nine home runs over its last 10 games.
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