The Baltimore Orioles will try to avoid losing their fourth straight game as they play host to the Boston Red Sox at Camden Yards. New England Sports Network will be televising the matchup and the first pitch is scheduled for 7:05 p.m. ET.
Boston Red Sox vs. Baltimore Orioles Odds
Oddsmakers are listing Boston (-160) as the favorite over Baltimore (+150). The total sits at nine runs and bettors can take the over for -115 and the under for -105. Gamblers can also bet on the game’s spread with the runline odds sitting at -110 for the Red Sox -1.5 runs and -110 for the Orioles +1.5.
The Red Sox have gone 70-31 SU this year and are 60-40 against the spread (ATS). They’ve gained 23.8 units for moneyline bettors and 19.8 units ATS. Boston has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the under has hit in five of those seven. The Orioles, on the other hand, are 28-72 SU and 39-60 ATS. The team’s lost 39.0 units for moneyline bettors and 28.8 units ATS. Baltimore has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the under has cashed in four of those seven.
Baltimore games have a 39-56-4 over/under record in 2018. Boston has an over/under record of 47-50-3.
Right-hander Rick Porcello is getting the nod for the visiting Red Sox. Porcello is 11-4 with a 4.13 ERA and 115 strikeouts. He’s 1-0 with nine strikeouts and a 4.50 ERA against Baltimore this year.
The Orioles are putting the ball in the right hand of Kevin Gausman (4-7, 4.33 ERA, 1.37 WHIP), who has 97 punchouts and 27 walks this season. Gausman is 0-1 with six strikeouts and an 11.57 ERA in one start against Boston this year.
Baltimore’s pitchers have given up 5.2 runs per game overall this year as a unit. Its starters have a 5.26 ERA, 1.49 WHIP and 7.4 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.33 ERA, 1.50 WHIP and 8.2 K/9. In 39 games against divisional foes, Orioles starters have an ERA of 5.96 and the bullpen’s ERA is 3.98.
The Baltimore offense is putting up 3.6 runs per contest, including 3.7 per game against divisional foes and 3.8 per game over its last five. The team has a slash-line of .223/.275/.398 over its last five games and is 2-3 SU during that stretch.
The Orioles’ offense has been led by shortstop Manny Machado and right fielder Adam Jones. Machado is hitting .315/.387/.575 with 24 home runs, 65 RBIs, 48 runs and eight stolen bases, and Jones is hitting .277 with 10 homers, 37 RBIs and 39 runs.
For the visiting squad, Boston’s pitchers have allowed 3.7 runs per game and its starters own a 3.67 ERA, 1.20 WHIP and 9.73 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 3.29, along with a WHIP of 1.20.
Red Sox hitters have slashed .270/.340/.458 on their way to 5.3 runs scored per game in 2018, including 5.2 runs per game against divisional foes and 4.2 per game over the team’s last five contests (4-1 SU).
Boston’s offensive production has been sparked by J.D. Martinez and Mookie Betts, who have combined to blast 52 home runs. Martinez is hitting .322/.388/.633 with 29 home runs, 81 RBIs and 72 runs scored, while Betts (.352/.441/.670) has produced 23 homers, 51 RBIs, 80 runs and 18 stolen bases.
The Red Sox have gained 23.7 units and are 47-27 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has hit in 36 of those games, compared to 36 that’ve hit the under against righties. On the other hand, the Orioles have lost 33.6 units and are 23-42 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over has hit in 26 of those games, compared to 36 that went under the total.
Boston Red Sox vs. Baltimore Orioles MLB Tip
Predictions: SU Winner – Red Sox, ATS Winner – Red Sox, O/U – OVER
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Notes
Betting Notes
Boston has recorded 12 extra-base hits over its last five games. Baltimore has 17 XBH over its last five.
The Red Sox have hit seven home runs in their last 10 games, including four over their last five.
The Boston defense has allowed three errors over the last 10 games, compared to eight errors for Baltimore over its last 10.
The Red Sox have won four of their last five games SU.
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