The Boston Red Sox are set to square off against the Minnesota Twins at Target Field. The first pitch is scheduled for 1:10 p.m. ET and New England Sports Network will showcase this AL showdown.
Boston Red Sox vs. Minnesota Twins Odds
Vegas is listing Boston (-115) as the favorite over Minnesota (+105). The total is sitting at 9 runs and bettors can wager on the over for -105 and the under for -115. Bettors can also wager on the game’s runline with the odds sitting at +130 for the Red Sox -1.5 runs and -150 for the Twins +1.5.
The Red Sox are 49-26 SU and have gone 41-33 against the spread (ATS). They’ve gained 11.8 units for moneyline gamblers and 7.0 units ATS. Boston has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the over has hit in four of those seven. The Twins, on the other hand, are 33-37 SU and 40-29 ATS. The team’s lost 5.6 units for moneyline bettors while earning 9.4 units ATS. Minnesota has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the total has gone over in four of those seven.
Minnesota games have a 32-35-2 over/under record so far in 2018. The Red Sox have an over/under record of 35-37-2.
Right-hander Rick Porcello is the probable starter for the visiting Red Sox. Porcello is 8-3 with a 3.70 ERA and 89 strikeouts. This will be his first outing against Minnesota this year. He did make two starts against the team in 2017, compiling a 1-1 record with a 3.46 ERA and 12 strikeouts.
The Twins will turn to righty Kyle Gibson (2-4, 3.27 ERA), who has 81 strikeouts and 36 walks as well as a WHIP of 1.17. Gibson only made one start against the Red Sox in 2017 (0-1, 4.76 ERA and two strikeouts across five and 2-third innings).
Boston’s pitching staff allowed 3.6 runs per game and its starters own a 3.62 ERA, 1.19 WHIP and 9.69 K/9. The bullpen has a solid ERA of just 3.18, along with a K-per-9 of 9.72.
Red Sox hitters have slashed .259/.329/.447 on their way to 5.0 runs scored per game this year, including 3.5 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 3.6 per game over the team’s last five contests (1-4 SU).
J.D. Martinez and Andrew Benintendi have paced Boston’s hitters. Martinez is hitting .312/.383/.621 with 22 home runs, 55 RBIs and 46 runs scored. Benintendi (.292/.379/.528) is up to 12 homers, 47 RBIs, 51 runs and 12 stolen bases.
In the home-team dugout, Minnesota’s pitchers have allowed 4.3 runs per game overall this season. The team’s starters have a 4.08 ERA, 1.31 WHIP and 8.7 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 3.97 ERA, 1.31 WHIP and 9.0 K/9.
The Minnesota hitters have put up 4.3 runs per contest, including 4.3 per game over its last 10 games and 5.2 per game over their last five. The team has hit .255/.317/.461 over its last five games and is 4-1 SU during that stretch.
The Twins’ batters have been led by left fielder Eddie Rosario and shortstop Eduardo Escobar. Rosario is slashing .320/.359/.579 with 16 home runs, 46 RBIs, 52 runs and six stolen bases, and Escobar’s line sits at .300/.350/.577 with 12 homers, 48 RBIs and 35 runs.
The Red Sox have gained 15.6 units and are 34-23 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has cashed in 28 of those games, compared to 27 that’ve gone under against right-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the Twins have lost 2.4 units and are 29-21 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over’s hit in 25 of those games, compared to 23 which went under the total.
Boston Red Sox at Minnesota Twins Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Twins, ATS Winner – Twins, O/U – OVER
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Notes
Betting Trends
The under has cashed in three of Minnesota’s last seven games.
The Red Sox have lost four of their last five games SU while the Twins have taken four of their last five.
Boston has recorded 18.7 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 games and 18.4 over its last five.
The Red Sox have hit 10 home runs in their last 10 games. The Twins have hit eight over their last 10.
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