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Boston Red Sox at New York Yankees Free Pick 09/19/18

Brad Penner-USA TODAY Sports

The New York Yankees will square off against the Boston Red Sox at Yankee Stadium. The matchup will begin at 7:05 p.m. ET and fans looking to watch it can tune in to New England Sports Network.

Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees Odds

The Red Sox are 103-48 SU and are 87-63 against the spread (ATS). They’ve gained 36.3 units for moneyline bettors and 22.4 units ATS. The Yankees, on the other hand, are 92-58 SU and 73-76 ATS. The team has lost 11.8 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 13.3 units ATS.

Yankees games have an over/under record of 67-75-7 in 2018. The Red Sox have also been a decent under bet with a total record of 68-74-8.

The left-handed David Price will get the start for Boston. Price (15-6, 3.42 ERA) has racked up 169 strikeouts in 165.2 innings so far. He’s 0-2 with nine strikeouts and a 12.19 ERA against New York this year (three starts).

The Yankees are putting the ball in the hands of righty Luis Severino (17-8, 3.46 ERA), who’s got 207 punchouts and 42 walks, as well as a 1.14 WHIP. Severino is 1-2 with 25 strikeouts and a 4.24 ERA across four starts against Boston this year.

New York’s pitchers have given up 4.1 runs per game overall in 2018 as a unit. Its starting pitching staff has a 4.05 ERA, 1.25 WHIP and 9.2 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 3.26 ERA, 1.19 WHIP and 11.3 K/9. In 64 games against divisional opponents, Yankees starters have an ERA of 4.06 and the bullpen’s ERA is 3.20.

New York’s offense has put up 5.1 runs per contest, including 5.2 per game against divisional foes and 4.8 per game over its last five. The team has a slash-line of .210/.330/.401 over its last five contests and is 2-3 SU during that stretch.

The Yankees’ batters have been led by Miguel Andujar, who is hitting .296/.330/.516 with 24 home runs, 83 RBIs and 77 runs scored.

In the other dugout, Boston’s pitching staff allowed 3.8 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 3.69 ERA, 1.20 WHIP and 9.56 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 3.55, along with a WHIP of 1.20.

The Red Sox offense has slashed .267/.339/.449 on its way to 5.3 runs scored per game this year, including 5.3 runs per game against divisional foes and 3.0 per game over the team’s last five outings (3-2 SU).

J.D. Martinez has led Boston’s hitters and is slashing .328/.397/.630 with 41 home runs, 123 RBIs and 106 runs scored.

The Yankees just snuck away with the previous game in this series by a final score of three runs to two.

Boston Red Sox at New York Yankees Free Prediction

Predictions: SU Winner – Yankees, ATS Winner – Red Sox, O/U – OVER

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Notes

Betting Trends

The over has cashed in four of New York’s last seven games.

The Red Sox have hit seven home runs in their last 10 games. The Yankees have hit 14 over their last 10.

Boston has recorded 18.9 runs + hits + errors per game over its last 10 contests and 16.6 over its last five.

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Written by GMS Previews

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