The Boston Red Sox will play the Seattle Mariners at Safeco Field. New England Sports Network will be airing this AL matchup and the game gets going at 10:10 p.m. ET.
Boston Red Sox vs. Seattle Mariners Odds
Vegas is listing Seattle (-150) as the favorite over Boston (+140). Gamblers can wager on the game’s total with odds sitting at +100 for over 7.5 runs and -120 for under 7.5. Bettors can also wager on the game’s spread with the runline odds sitting at -155 for the Red Sox +1.5 runs and +135 for the Mariners -1.5.
The Mariners are 44-25 straight up (SU) and 36-32 against the spread (ATS). They’ve gained 17.6 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 2.7 units (ATS). Seattle has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the total has gone over in five of those seven. The Red Sox are 48-22 SU and have gone 39-30 ATS. In total, the team’s accumulated 13.8 units for moneyline bettors and 8.4 units ATS. Boston has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the total has gone under in six of those seven.
Mariners games have an over/under record of 36-31-1 thus far in 2018. Boston has an over/under record of 32-35-2.
Rick Porcello will get the nod for Boston. The right-handed Porcello is 8-3 with a 3.54 ERA and 80 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Mariners this year and only made one start against them in 2017 (0-1, 2.84 ERA and six strikeouts across 6.1 innings).
The Mariners are sending lefty James Paxton (6-1, 3.02 ERA) to the mound. Paxton has 111 strikeouts and 25 walks to his name, as well as a 1.01 WHIP. Paxton only made one start against the Red Sox in 2017 (1-0, 0.00 ERA and 10 strikeouts across seven innings).
As a unit, Seattle’s pitching staff has allowed 4.0 runs per game overall this year. The club’s starting pitching staff has an ERA of 3.92, a WHIP of 1.22 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 7.9. The bullpen has a 3.65 ERA, 1.21 WHIP and 10.2 K/9.
Seattle’s hitters are putting up 4.4 runs per outing, including 4.9 per game over its last 10 games and 5.0 per game over their last five. The team has a slash-line of .298/.339/.578 over its last five matchups and is 4-1 SU during that span.
The Mariners’ offense has been led by shortstop Jean Segura and right fielder Dee Gordon. Segura is slashing .342/.363/.482 with five home runs, 42 RBIs, 51 runs and 14 stolen bases, and Gordon’s line sits at .286/.308/.361 with 69 hits, 15 RBIs, 29 runs and 19 stolen bases.
In the other dugout, Boston’s pitchers have allowed 3.6 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 3.64 ERA, 1.21 WHIP and 9.65 K/9. The bullpen has a solid ERA of just 2.95, along with a WHIP of 1.21.
Red Sox hitters have slashed .263/.332/.456 on their way to 5.1 runs scored per game this year, including 3.6 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 3.4 per game over the team’s last five contests (4-1 SU).
Boston’s hitters have been led by J.D. Martinez and Andrew Benintendi, who collectively have belted 34 home runs. Martinez is slashing .317/.388/.651 with 22 home runs, 55 RBIs and 44 runs scored, while Benintendi is hitting .297/.385/.547 with 12 homers, 46 RBIs, 49 runs and 11 steals.
The Red Sox have lost 1.7 units and are 6-9 ATS when facing a lefty starter this season. The over has cashed in six of those games, compared to nine that’ve gone under against left-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the Mariners have netted 16.8 units and are 24-21 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over’s hit in 26 of those games, compared to 19 that’ve gone under.
Boston Red Sox at Seattle Mariners MLB Tip
Predictions: SU Winner – Mariners, ATS Winner – Red Sox, O/U – OVER
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Notes
Betting Notes
Boston has recorded 11 extra-base hits over its last five outings. Seattle has 19 XBH over its last five.
Boston has recorded 19.6 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 19.4 over its last five.
The Red Sox have hit 12 home runs in their last 10 games. The Mariners have hit 22 over their last 10.
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