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Boston Red Sox at Seattle Mariners Betting Preview 06/16/18

Joe Nicholson-USA TODAY Sports

The Boston Red Sox will be squaring off against the Seattle Mariners at Safeco Field. This AL showdown will be televised nationally on Fox and the game gets underway 8:15 p.m. ET.

Boston Red Sox at Seattle Mariners Odds

Seattle (+105) is the home-team underdog to Boston (-115) and oddsmakers have set the Over/Under for this one at 8.5 runs (-120 for the under and +100 for the over). Gamblers can also bet on the game’s runline with the current odds coming in at Red Sox -1.5 runs (+130) and Mariners +1.5 runs (-150).

The Mariners are 45-25 straight up (SU) and 37-32 against the spread (ATS). The team has gained 16.6 units for moneyline bettors and 3.7 units (ATS). Seattle has covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the total has gone over in four of those seven. The Red Sox are 48-23 SU and have gone 39-31 ATS. In total, the team’s accumulated 14.8 units for gamblers taking the moneyline and 7.4 units ATS. Boston has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the total has gone under in six of those seven.

Mariners games have a 36-32-1 over/under record so far in 2018. The Red Sox have an over/under record of 32-36-2.

Steven Wright will get the start for the visiting Red Sox. The right-handed Wright is 2-0 with a 1.21 ERA and 25 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Mariners this year and did not record a start against them in 2017, either.

The Mariners are putting the ball in the hands of lefty Wade LeBlanc (2-0, 3.00 ERA), who has 43 strikeouts and 14 walks to his name, as well as a 1.22 WHIP. LeBlanc did not record a start against the Red Sox in 2017.

Seattle’s pitching staff has given up 4.1 runs per game overall this season as a unit. The team’s starters have a 4.01 ERA, 1.23 WHIP and 7.9 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 3.55 ERA, 1.20 WHIP and 10.0 K/9.

The Seattle hitters have put up 4.4 runs per outing, including 4.9 per game over its last 10 games and 5.4 per game over their last five. The team has a slash-line of .319/.362/.589 over its last five matchups and is 4-1 SU during that span.

The Mariners’ batters have been led by shortstop Jean Segura and right fielder Dee Gordon. Segura is hitting .344/.365/.493 with six home runs, 43 RBIs, 52 runs and 14 stolen bases, and Gordon’s line sits at .285/.306/.358 with 70 hits, 15 RBIs, 30 runs and 19 stolen bases.

In the visiting dugout, Boston’s pitching staff allowed 3.6 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 3.67 ERA, 1.21 WHIP and 9.71 K/9. The bullpen has managed a solid ERA of just 3.04, along with a WHIP of 1.21.

The Red Sox offense has slashed .262/.332/.454 on its way to 5.1 runs scored per game in 2018, including 3.6 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 4.2 per game over the team’s last five contests (4-1 SU).

J.D. Martinez and Andrew Benintendi have led Boston’s hitters. Martinez is slashing .320/.392/.648 with 22 home runs, 55 RBIs and 45 runs scored, while Benintendi is hitting .296/.383/.545 with 12 homers, 46 RBIs, 49 runs and 11 stolen bases.

The Red Sox have lost 1.7 units and are 6-9 ATS when facing a lefty starter this season. The over has cashed in six of those games, compared to nine that’ve gone under against left-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the Mariners have netted 16.8 units and are 24-21 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over’s hit in 26 of those games, compared to 19 that’ve gone under.

Boston Red Sox at Seattle Mariners Prediction

Predictions: SU Winner – Mariners, ATS Winner – Mariners, O/U – OVER

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Notes

Betting Notes

The over has cashed in four of Seattle’s last seven games.

The Mariners have won five of their last six games SU.

Boston has posted 19.4 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 21.0 over its last five.

The Red Sox have hit 11 home runs in their last 10 games, including six over their last five.

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Written by GMS Previews

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