The Boston Red Sox will play their divisional rival Toronto Blue Jays at Rogers Centre. New England Sports Network will be televising the matchup and the game is scheduled to get underway at 4:07 p.m. ET.
Boston Red Sox vs. Toronto Blue Jays Odds
Oddsmakers are listing Boston (-130) as the favorite over Toronto (+120). Gamblers are able to wager on the game’s total with odds sitting at -105 for over 9 runs and -115 for under 9. The game’s current runline odds sit at +115 for taking the Red Sox -1.5 runs and -135 for the Blue Jays +1.5.
The Blue Jays are 21-18 SU and 20-18 ATS. The team has gained 0.5 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 2.0 units against the spread (ATS). The Red Sox are 26-12 SU and have gone 18-19 ATS. Overall, the team’s accumulated 10.1 units for moneyline bettors through the early part of the year, but have lost 1.9 units ATS.
Blue Jays games have an over/under record of 17-16-5 so far in 2018. Boston has an over/under record of 19-17-1.
David Price will get the nod for Boston. The southpaw Price is 2-4 with a 5.11 ERA and 32 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Blue Jays this year and did not record a start against them in 2017, either.
The Blue Jays will turn to righty Marco Estrada (2-2, 5.21 ERA), who’s got 29 strikeouts and 14 walks to his name as well as a 1.45 WHIP. Estrada is 0-1 with five strikeouts and a 9.00 ERA over one starts against Boston this year.
Boston’s pitchers have allowed 3.8 runs per game and its starters own a 3.50 ERA, 1.13 WHIP and 9.80 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 3.87, along with a K/9 of 10.13.
The Red Sox offense has slashed .266/.331/.455 on its way to 5.5 runs scored per game this season, including 5.2 runs per game against divisional foes and 4.4 per game over the team’s last five contests (2-3 SU).
Boston’s offense has been powered by Mookie Betts and J.D. Martinez, who collectively have belted 22 home runs. Betts is slashing .346/.430/.772 with 13 home runs, 27 RBIs, 39 runs and five stolen bases, while Martinez (.343/.389/.615) has produced nine homers, 30 RBIs and 23 runs scored.
Maintaining a slash line of .255/.299/.588 across 177 plate appearances, Martinez taken a step back when hitting righty pitching on the road in 2017 (his total season line was .303/.376/.690).
In the home-team dugout, Toronto’s pitching staff has allowed 4.7 runs per game overall this year. Its starters have a 5.49 ERA, 1.51 WHIP and 8.2 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has recorded a solid ERA of just 2.80, a WHIP of 1.29 and a K/9 of 9.2. In 18 divisional games, Blue Jays starters have an ERA of 4.66 and the bullpen’s ERA is 2.11.
The Toronto hitters are putting up 4.9 runs per outing, including 3.5 per game against divisional foes and 3.0 per game over their last five. The team’s hit .210/.258/.365 over its last five contests and is 3-2 SU during that stretch.
Outfielders Kevin Pillar and Curtis Granderson have led the Blue Jays’ hitters this year. Pillar is hitting .318/.360/.541 with four home runs, 17 RBIs, 24 runs and seven stolen bases, and Granderson’s line is .276/.444/.487 with three homers, 13 RBIs and 16 runs.
Compared to his overall season slash line of .255/.300/.403, Pillar performed well against lefties at home last year, slashing .333/.364/.583 over 77 such plate appearances.
The Red Sox have gained 10.4 units and are 15-13 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has hit in 16 of those games, compared to 11 that’ve gone under against right-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the Blue Jays have lost 0.8 units and are 9-5 ATS when facing a lefty starter. The over’s hit in six of those games, compared to six that went under the total.
Boston Red Sox at Toronto Blue Jays Prediction
Predictions: SU Winner – Red Sox, ATS Winner – Red Sox, O/U – OVER
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Notes
Betting Notes
The under has cashed in three of Toronto’s last seven games.
Boston has posted 23.5 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 games and 22.8 over its last five.
The Red Sox have hit 20 home runs in their last 10 games. The Blue Jays have hit 13 over their last 10.
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