In a game that has the potential for a lot of runs, Julio Teheran (4-2, 4.78 ERA) and the Atlanta Braves (31-33) are in Boston to take on Wade Miley (5-6, 5.07 ERA) and the Red Sox (27-38). This is the second of a two-game series at Fenway Park. The Red Sox lost the last game 4-2, continuing a seven-game losing streak. Action begins at 4:05 p.m. ET on Tuesday, Jun. 16 and can be seen on SPSO and NESN.
Miley is 1-2 with a 5.92 ERA in his appearances against the Braves, and goes up against a good Atlanta offense which is batting .260 this season. Dustin Pedroia (.313, 31 Rs, 9 HRs, 27 RBIs, 1 SB) had another good game yesterday, going 2 for 3. Teheran went 7.0 innings, surrendering three runs (one unearned), striking out seven and walking three in a 6-4 defeat to the Padres in his most recent start. Freddie Freeman (.305, 42 Rs, 12 HRs, 40 RBIs, 3 SBs) went 1 for 4 yesterday with one run and one stolen base.
Boston is a -145 favorite against Atlanta and the Over/Under (O/U) for this game is sitting at eight runs. The Red Sox have an overall money line of -1,673 and a record as the favorite of 18-25. In interleague play, they have had a solid season, earning 3-2 and 4-2 records as the favorite and SU respectively. The Red Sox have seen an uptick in scoring against teams in the NL, averaging 6.3 runs per game. They average 3.9 runs per game on the season. Boston is one of the best in the AL in terms of walks, earning an average of 3.3 per game.
In games where it is the underdog, Atlanta has a 21-27 record and an overall money line of +189. Atlanta has put in a great performance against interleague opponents, coming in with a nice record SU ({betdsi.at.al.su_record}) and as the underdog (3-1). Offensively, they average 4.3 runs per game, which is good for fifth in the NL. The Braves are tough outs for opponents, ranking fifth in the NL with 9.0 hits per road game. Atlanta is excellent at not striking out on the road with an NL-low 6.9 per game.
The Braves have the edge in the season series, 1-0. The Red Sox have a 19-27 record against right-handed starting pitchers on the year, which is what they’ll be facing when Teheran takes the mound. Miley (LHP) will be on the hill against the Braves, who have a 4-4 record against left-handed starting pitchers.
Predictions: SU Winner – ATL, O/U – Over
Notes
When the Red Sox play into extra innings, they have a 2-2 record. The Braves are 2-3 when their games exceed nine innings.
The Braves are coming into this game after allowing two walks during their last outing. The Red Sox have an 11-19 record when opponents give up that many walks or fewer.
When they outhit their opponents, the Braves are 23-12. The Red Sox have a 23-5 record when outhitting opponents.
Ranking 21st in runs, Boston has earned 249 this season. Atlanta ranks seventh with 274 runs.
Ranking 13th, Atlanta is in the top half of the league in walks, notching 193 this season. Boston ranks in the top five at third with 211.
When the Red Sox hit at least one home run, they are 20-21. When the Braves hit at least one homer, they have a 19-11 record.
