The Boston Red Sox will pay a visit to Camden Yards to face off against their division foe Baltimore Orioles. New England Sports Network will be televising the matchup and the opening pitch is scheduled for 7:05 p.m. ET.
Boston Red Sox at Baltimore Orioles Odds
Baltimore (+165) is coming into this one as the underdog against Boston (-175) and Vegas has set the Over/Under for this night game at nine runs (-120 for the over and +100 for the under). The game’s most recent runline odds sit at -120 for taking the Red Sox -1.5 runs and +100 for the Orioles +1.5.
The Orioles are 34-78 straight up (SU) and 49-65 against the spread (ATS). The team has lost 36.5 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 25.4 units (ATS). Baltimore has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the total went over in five of those seven. The Red Sox, on the other hand, are 79-34 SU and have gone 70-45 ATS. Overall, the team’s gained 31.4 units for moneyline gamblers and 25.6 units ATS. Boston has covered the spread six times in its last seven games and the total has gone under in three of those seven.
Baltimore games have a 50-60-4 over/under record in 2018. The Red Sox have an over/under record of 53-58-4.
Right-hander Nathan Eovaldi is the probable starter for the visiting Red Sox. Eovaldi is 5-4 with a 3.38 ERA and 62 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Orioles this year and did not record a start against them in 2017, either.
The Orioles are turning to righty Dylan Bundy (7-10, 4.38 ERA), who’s got 129 strikeouts and 37 walks to his name as well as a 1.27 WHIP. Bundy is 0-2 with 21 strikeouts and a 2.29 ERA across three starts against Boston this year.
Boston’s pitching staff allowed 3.6 runs per game and its starters own a 3.49 ERA, 1.18 WHIP and 9.59 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 3.33, along with a WHIP of 1.18 and a K/9 of 9.60.
Red Sox hitters have slashed .269/.339/.457 on their way to 5.3 runs scored per game in 2018, including 5.3 runs per game against divisional foes and 5.8 per game over the team’s last five outings (4-1 SU).
J.D. Martinez and Mookie Betts continue to lead Boston’s hitters. Martinez is slashing .324/.392/.641 with 33 home runs, 93 RBIs and 80 runs scored, while Betts is hitting .342 with 26 homers, 58 RBIs, 89 runs and 21 stolen bases.
In the other dugout, Baltimore’s pitching staff has allowed 5.3 runs per game overall in 2018. Its starters have a 5.43 ERA, 1.50 WHIP and 7.4 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.32 ERA, 1.50 WHIP and 8.2 K/9. In 47 games against AL East foes, Orioles starters have an ERA of 5.74 and the bullpen’s ERA is 3.89.
Baltimore’s offense has put up 3.9 runs per contest, including 4.4 per game against divisional foes and 5.6 per game over its last five. The team has slashed .306/.339/.483 over its last five contests and is 2-3 SU during that span.
The Orioles’ hitters have been led by right fielder Adam Jones and shortstop Manny Machado. Jones is slashing .282/.311/.424 with 11 home runs, 44 RBIs and 43 runs scored, and Machado’s line is .315/.387/.575 with 24 homers, 65 RBIs and 48 runs.
The Red Sox have gained 29.3 units and are 55-32 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has cashed in 40 of those games, compared to 44 that’ve gone under against right-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the Orioles have lost 30.6 units and are 31-46 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over’s cashed in 35 of those games, compared to 39 that went under.
Boston Red Sox vs. Baltimore Orioles MLB Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Red Sox, ATS Winner – Red Sox, O/U – OVER
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Notes
Betting Trends
The over has cashed in five of Baltimore’s last seven games.
The Red Sox have won eight of their last nine games SU.
Baltimore has recorded 30.1 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 27.6 over its last five.
The Red Sox have hit 11 home runs in their last 10 games, including seven over their last five.
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