The Boston Red Sox will be facing off against the Cleveland Indians at Progressive Field. This AL matchup is going to be televised across the country on ESPN and the first pitch is scheduled for 7:08 p.m. ET.
Boston Red Sox vs. Cleveland Indians Odds
Vegas has put identical -105 moneyline odds on both of these teams. Gamblers are able to bet on the game’s total with odds posted at -110 for over 9.5 runs and -110 for under 9.5. Bettors can also wager on the game’s runline with the most recent odds sitting at +140 for the Red Sox -1.5 runs and -160 for the Indians +1.5 runs.
The Red Sox are 105-50 SU and have gone 90-64 against the spread (ATS). They’ve accumulated 37.0 units for moneyline bettors and 24.0 units ATS. The Indians, on the other hand, are 86-68 SU and 72-81 ATS. The team’s lost 24.6 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 19.6 units ATS.
Cleveland games have had an over/under record of 73-71-9 in 2018. Red Sox games have gone under 75 times, gone over 71 times and pushed on eight occasions.
Right-hander Hector Velazquez will get the start for Boston. Velazquez (7-2, 3.18 ERA) has recorded 49 strikeouts in 79.1 innings so far. He’s 0-0 with a 0.00 ERA against Cleveland this year.
The Indians are putting the ball in the hands of righty Adam Plutko (4-5, 5.27 ERA), who’s got 57 punchouts and 19 walks to his name, as well as a WHIP of 1.30. Plutko is 0-1 with four strikeouts and a 10.38 ERA in one start against Boston this year.
Boston’s pitchers have allowed 3.9 runs per game and its starters own a 3.76 ERA, 1.21 WHIP and 9.52 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 3.58, along with a WHIP of 1.21.
The Red Sox offense has slashed .267/.339/.450 on its way to 5.3 runs scored per game this year, including 3.9 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 5.0 per game over the team’s last five contests (2-3 SU).
Boston’s hitters have been paced by J.D. Martinez and Mookie Betts, who have combined to blast 71 home runs. Martinez is hitting .329/.401/.624 with 41 home runs, 124 RBIs and 106 runs scored, while Betts (.339/.432/.625) has produced 30 homers, 77 RBIs, 121 runs and 28 steals.
For the home team, Cleveland’s pitchers have allowed 4.0 runs per game overall in 2018. Its starting pitching staff has an ERA of 3.44, a WHIP of 1.15 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 9.7. The bullpen has a 4.55 ERA, 1.31 WHIP and 9.2 K/9.
Cleveland’s hitters are putting up 5.0 runs per contest, including 4.9 per game over its last 10 games and 4.6 per game over their last five. The team has slashed .250/.368/.407 over its last five games and is 3-2 SU during that stretch.
The Indians’ batters have been led by shortstop Francisco Lindor and left fielder Michael Brantley. Lindor is hitting .283/.356/.527 with 36 home runs, 89 RBIs, 124 runs and 23 stolen bases, while Brantley’s line is .310/.364/.474 with 17 homers, 75 RBIs and 85 runs.
The Red Sox have gained 36.0 units and are 71-47 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has hit in 55 of those games, compared to 57 that’ve gone under against right-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the Indians have lost 14.5 units and are 54-58 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in 54 of those games, compared to 53 that’ve cashed the under.
Boston Red Sox vs. Cleveland Indians Free MLB Tip
Predictions: SU Winner – Indians, ATS Winner – Indians, O/U – OVER
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Notes
Betting Notes
The over has hit in three of Boston’s last seven games.
Cleveland has recorded 21.7 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 21.8 over its last five.
The Red Sox have hit 11 home runs in their last 10 games, including eight over their last five.
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