The Minnesota Twins are facing off against the Boston Red Sox at Target Field. This AL matchup will get going at 8:10 p.m. ET and New England Sports Network will televise the game.
Boston Red Sox vs. Minnesota Twins Odds
Minnesota (+165) is coming into this one as the underdog against Boston (-175) and oddsmakers have the Over/Under for this night game at 7.5 runs. The odds for wagering on the game’s total stand at -115 for the over and -105 for the under. The game’s runline odds sit at -120 for taking the Red Sox -1.5 runs and +100 for the Twins +1.5.
The Twins are 39-29 against the spread (ATS), despite being 31-37 straight up (SU). They’ve lost 7.4 units for moneyline bettors while earning 8.3 units (ATS). The Red Sox are 49-24 SU and have gone 41-32 ATS. In total, the team’s gained 13.7 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 8.4 units ATS.
Minnesota games have an over/under record of 31-35-2 thus far in 2018. Boston has an over/under record of 34-37-2.
Chris Sale is getting the nod for the visiting Red Sox. The left-handed Sale is 6-4 with a 2.75 ERA and 129 strikeouts. He has yet to face Minnesota this year, but he made two starts against the Twins in 2017, putting together a 2-0 record against them with a 3.65 ERA and 19 strikeouts.
The Twins are sending righty Jose Berrios (7-5, 3.51 ERA) to the mound. Berrios has 91 strikeouts and 15 walks to his name, as well as a 0.95 WHIP. Berrios only made one start against the Red Sox in 2017 (0-1, 5.68 ERA and seven strikeouts across 6.1 innings).
Minnesota’s pitching staff has yielded 4.4 runs per game overall this year as a unit. The club’s starters have an ERA of 4.18, a WHIP of 1.31 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 8.8. The bullpen has a 4.04 ERA, 1.32 WHIP and 9.0 K/9.
The Minnesota offense has produced 4.3 runs per outing, including 4.2 per game over its last 10 games and 3.8 per game over its last five. The team’s hit .229/.284/.376 over its last five games and is 2-3 SU during that stretch.
Eddie Rosario has helped lead the Twins’ offense this season with 16 home runs, 46 RBIs, 50 runs and six stolen bases.
In the visiting dugout, Boston’s pitching staff allowed 3.6 runs per game and its starters own a 3.62 ERA, 1.20 WHIP and 9.69 K/9. The bullpen has a solid ERA of just 3.03, along with a WHIP of 1.20 and a K/9 of 9.73.
Red Sox hitters have slashed .261/.330/.452 on their way to 5.1 runs scored per game this year, including 3.6 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 4.4 per game over the team’s last five contests (3-2 SU).
J.D. Martinez has led Boston’s hitters thus far and is slashing .315/.388/.635 with 22 home runs, 55 RBIs and 46 runs scored.
The Twins are coming off of a 4-1 loss against the Indians, while the Red Sox just got a 9-3 victory over the Mariners.
Boston Red Sox at Minnesota Twins Free MLB Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Red Sox, ATS Winner – Red Sox, O/U – OVER
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Notes
Betting Trends
The under has hit in three of Minnesota’s last seven games.
The Red Sox have hit 11 home runs in their last 10 games, including seven over their last five.
Minnesota has recorded 20.0 runs + hits + errors per game over its last 10 games and 19.4 over its last five.
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