The streaking New York Yankees are searching for their seventh straight win as they play host to the Boston Red Sox at Yankee Stadium. The opening pitch is scheduled for 7:05 p.m. ET and New England Sports Network will televise the matchup.
Boston Red Sox at New York Yankees Odds
Boston (+165) is the underdog to New York (-175) and oddsmakers have set the Over/Under for this game at 8.5 runs (+100 for the over and -120 for the under). You can also bet on the game’s spread with the current runline odds standing at Red Sox +1.5 runs (-135) and Yankees +-1.5 runs (+115).
The Yankees are 24-10 SU and 20-14 ATS. The team’s gained 8.8 units for moneyline bettors and 5.3 units against the spread (ATS). New York has covered the spread six times in its last seven games and the under has hit in four of those seven. On the other hand, the Red Sox have gone 25-9 SU this year and are 16-18 ATS. Overall, the team’s accumulated 10.8 units for moneyline gamblers in this young season, but have lost 2.3 units ATS. Boston is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the over has hit in four of those seven.
Yankees games have a 20-13-1 over/under record so far in 2018. The Red Sox have an over/under record of 18-15-1.
Drew Pomeranz will get the nod for the BoSox. The left-handed Pomeranz is 1-1 with a 6.14 ERA and 14 strikeouts. He has yet to face New York this year, but he made five starts against the team in 2017, putting together a 2-1 record with a 4.10 ERA and 28 strikeouts.
The Yankees will be sending righty Luis Severino (5-1, 2.11 ERA) to the mound. Severino has 52 strikeouts and 12 walks to his name, as well as a 0.85 WHIP. Severino is 0-1 with six strikeouts and a 9.00 ERA over one starts against Boston this year.
As a unit, New York’s pitching staff has given up 4.0 runs per game overall in 2018. Its starters have an ERA of 3.33, a WHIP of 1.10 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 8.6. The bullpen has a 3.58 ERA, 1.22 WHIP and 12.8 K/9. In 17 divisional games, Yankees starters have an ERA of 4.43 and the bullpen’s ERA is 4.00.
New York’s hitters are putting up 5.8 runs per contest, including 5.4 per game against divisional foes and 5.8 per game over their last five. The team’s hit .232/.323/.409 over its last five games and is 5-0 SU during that span.
The Yankees’ hitters have been led by shortstop Didi Gregorius and right fielder Aaron Judge. Gregorius is hitting .311/.399/.664 with 10 home runs, 30 RBIs and 27 runs scored, while Judge is hitting .296 with eight homers, 23 RBIs and 26 runs scored.
Gregorius saw a slight drop-off in production when hitting lefty pitching at home last year, slashing .289/.309/.382 across 81 such plate appearances (his total season line was .287/.317/.478).
For the visiting squad, Boston’s pitching staff allowed 3.7 runs per game and its starters own a 3.49 ERA, 1.14 WHIP and 9.60 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 3.38, along with a K/9 of 10.13.
The Red Sox offense has slashed .269/.336/.460 on its way to 5.6 runs scored per game this season, including 5.4 runs per game against divisional foes and 5.4 per game over the team’s last five outings (4-1 SU).
Mookie Betts and J.D. Martinez have led Boston’s offense. Betts is hitting .355/.434/.818 with 13 home runs, 26 RBIs and 36 runs scored, while Martinez is slashing .349/.396/.619 with eight homers, 27 RBIs and 22 runs scored.
Martinez did not seem to enjoy batting against righty pitching on the road last year, maintaining a slash line of .255/.299/.588 across 177 such plate appearances (his overall season line was .303/.376/.690).
The Red Sox have gained 12.4 units and are 14-12 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has hit in 15 of those games, compared to 10 that’ve gone under against right-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the Yankees have netted 3.9 units and are 6-4 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in five of those games, as opposed to five which went under the total.
Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees MLB Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Yankees, ATS Winner – Red Sox, O/U – OVER
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Notes
Betting Notes
The Red Sox have hit 17 home runs in their last 10 games, including 12 over their last five.
The Boston defense has allowed four errors over its last five games, compared to zero errors for New York over its last five.
The Yankees have won 15 of their last 16 games SU.
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