The Boston Red Sox are set to face off against their AL East foe New York Yankees at Yankee Stadium. The matchup will begin at 7:05 p.m. ET and fans looking to watch it can tune in to New England Sports Network.
Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees Odds
New York (-165) is favored over Boston (+155) and oddsmakers have the Over/Under for this one at 9 runs. Odds for betting on the game’s total stand at -110 for both the over and the under. Bettors can also wager on the game’s runline with the odds coming in at Red Sox +1.5 runs (-140) and Yankees +-1.5 runs (+120).
The Yankees are 25-10 SU and 20-14 ATS. They’ve gained 8.8 units for moneyline bettors and 5.3 units against the spread (ATS). On the other hand, the Red Sox have gone 25-10 SU this year and are 16-18 ATS. Overall, the team’s accumulated 10.8 units for bettors taking the moneyline in this young season, but have lost 2.3 units ATS.
New York games have an over/under record of 20-13-1 so far in 2018. Red Sox games have gone over 18 times, gone under 15 times and pushed on one occasion.
The right-handed Rick Porcello is projected to start for Boston. Porcello is 5-0 with a 2.14 ERA and 46 strikeouts. He’s 1-0 with six strikeouts and a 0.00 ERA against New York this year (four starts).
The Yankees will send righty Masahiro Tanaka (4-2, 4.39 ERA) to the mound. Tanaka has 42 punchouts and eight walks to his name, as well as a 1.00 WHIP. Tanaka is 1-0 with three strikeouts and a 10.80 ERA over one starts against Boston this year.
New York’s pitching staff has allowed 3.9 runs per game overall in 2018 as a unit. Its starters have a 3.32 ERA, 1.10 WHIP and 8.9 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 3.49 ERA, 1.21 WHIP and 12.8 K/9. In 18 games against divisional foes, Yankees starters have an ERA of 4.34 and the bullpen’s ERA is 3.84.
The New York offense has put up 5.7 runs per outing, including 5.3 per game against divisional foes and 5.6 per game over its last five. The team has hit .223/.333/.389 over its last five games and is 5-0 SU during that stretch.
The Yankees’ offense has been led by shortstop Didi Gregorius and outfielder Aaron Judge. Gregorius is slashing .301/.388/.642 with 10 home runs, 30 RBIs and 27 runs scored, and Judge’s line is .295/.418/.550 with eight homers, 24 RBIs and 26 runs.
Compared to his total season slash line of .284/.422/.627, Judge performed well against right-handed pitchers at home in 2017, hitting .318/.424/.771 across 257 plate appearances.
For the visiting squad, Boston’s pitching staff allowed 3.7 runs per game and its starters own a 3.48 ERA, 1.13 WHIP and 9.58 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 3.39, along with a WHIP of 1.13.
Red Sox hitters have slashed .268/.333/.456 on their way to 5.5 runs scored per game this season, including 5.3 runs per game against divisional foes and 4.8 per game over the team’s last five outings (3-2 SU).
Mookie Betts and J.D. Martinez have led Boston’s offense. Betts is slashing .360/.436/.825 with 13 home runs, 27 RBIs and 36 runs scored, while Martinez (.346/.392/.615) is up to eight homers, 27 RBIs and 22 runs scored.
Compared to his overall season slash line of .303/.376/.690, Martinez appeared to take a step back when hitting righty pitching on the road last season, putting up a slash line of .255/.299/.588 across 177 such plate appearances.
The Red Sox have gained 12.4 units and are 14-12 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has hit in 15 of those games, compared to 10 that’ve gone under against righties.
Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees MLB Prediction
Predictions: SU Winner – Yankees, ATS Winner – Red Sox, O/U – UNDER
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Notes
Betting Trends
The under has hit in four of New York’s last seven games.
The Yankees have won 16 of their last 17 games SU.
Boston fielders have 11 errors over the last 10 games, compared to two errors for New York over its last 10.
The Red Sox have hit 17 home runs in their last 10 games. The Yankees have hit 10 over their last 10.
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