The New York Yankees are set to host their division rival Boston Red Sox at Yankee Stadium. The first pitch is scheduled for 7:05 p.m. ET and New England Sports Network will televise the action.
Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees Odds
Vegas is listing New York (-120) as the favorite over Boston (+110). Bettors can wager on the game’s total with odds sitting at -115 for over nine runs and -105 for under nine. Bettors can also wager on the game’s runline with the most recent odds sitting at Red Sox +1.5 runs (-190) and Yankees -1.5 runs (+165).
The Red Sox are 55-27 SU and have gone 46-35 against the spread (ATS). They’ve gained 13.7 units for moneyline bettors and 11.6 units ATS. Boston has covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the total has gone under in three of those seven. The Yankees, on the other hand, are 52-26 SU and 42-36 ATS. They’ve gained 9.6 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 4.3 units ATS. New York has covered the spread just twice over its last seven games and the under has cashed in six of those seven.
New York games have a 33-42-3 over/under record so far in 2018. The Red Sox have an over/under record of 38-40-3.
Left-hander Eduardo Rodriguez is projected to start for the visiting Red Sox. Rodriguez is 9-2 with a 3.86 ERA and 92 strikeouts. He’s 0-0 with eight strikeouts and a 0.00 ERA against New York this year.
The Yankees will send lefty CC Sabathia (4-3, 3.18 ERA) to the mound. Sabathia has 61 strikeouts and 20 walks to his name, as well as a WHIP of 1.26. Sabathia is 0-0 with five strikeouts and a 9.00 ERA in one start against Boston this year.
New York’s pitchers have allowed 3.8 runs per game overall this season as a unit. Its starting pitching staff has an ERA of 3.79, a WHIP of 1.19 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 9.1. The bullpen has posted a solid ERA of just 2.68, a WHIP of 1.09 and a K/9 of 12.0. In 31 games against AL East foes, Yankees starters have an ERA of 4.06 and the bullpen’s ERA is 2.86.
The New York offense has produced 5.1 runs per contest, including 4.9 per game against divisional foes and 3.2 per game over its last five. The team’s hit .202/.277/.341 over its last five games and is 2-3 SU during that stretch.
Giancarlo Stanton and Aaron Judge have led the Yankees’ hitters this year. Stanton is hitting .265/.337/.510 with 19 home runs, 46 RBIs and 46 runs scored, and Judge is hitting .277 with 20 homers, 52 RBIs and 53 runs scored.
In the visiting dugout, Boston’s pitching staff allowed 3.7 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 3.72 ERA, 1.21 WHIP and 9.61 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 3.07, along with a K/9 of 9.75.
The Red Sox offense has slashed .266/.334/.459 on its way to 5.2 runs scored per game in 2018, including 5.2 runs per game against divisional foes and 5.8 per game over the team’s last five contests (4-1 SU).
J.D. Martinez and Andrew Benintendi continue to lead Boston’s offense. Martinez is slashing .326/.394/.648 with 25 home runs, 64 RBIs and 57 runs scored, while Benintendi is slashing .286/.370/.512 with 13 homers, 51 RBIs, 56 runs and 13 stolen bases.
The Red Sox have gained 0.3 units and are 11-10 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has hit in nine of those games, as opposed to 11 that’ve hit the under in such games. On the other hand, the Yankees have netted 9.7 units and are 11-12 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in seven of those games, as opposed to 14 which went under the total.
Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Yankees, ATS Winner – Red Sox, O/U – OVER
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Notes
Betting Notes
The over has hit in three of Boston’s last seven outings.
The Red Sox have hit 17 home runs in their last 10 games, including 10 over their last five.
Boston has recorded 28.0 runs + hits + errors per game over its last 10 outings and 24.6 over its last five.
The Red Sox have won six of their last seven games SU.
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