The Philadelphia Phillies will do battle against the Boston Red Sox at Citizens Bank Park. New England Sports Network will showcase this interleague showdown and the opening pitch is scheduled for 7:05 p.m. ET.
Boston Red Sox vs. Philadelphia Phillies Odds
Philadelphia (+120) is the home-team underdog to Boston (-130) and Vegas has set the Over/Under for this night game at 9 runs. The odds for wagering on the game’s total sit at +100 for the over and -120 for the under. The game’s most recent runline odds sit at +115 for betting the Red Sox -1.5 runs and -135 for the Phillies +1.5 runs.
The Red Sox are 86-35 SU and have gone 74-46 against the spread (ATS). They’ve accumulated 33.8 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 28.5 units ATS. Boston has covered the spread six times in its last seven games and the total has gone over in four of those seven. The Phillies, on the other hand, are 65-53 SU and 57-60 ATS. The team’s gained 12.6 units for bettors taking the moneyline while earning 11.1 units ATS. Philadelphia has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the under has hit in six of those seven.
Philadelphia games have a 49-63-5 over/under record in 2018. Boston has an over/under record of 55-60-5.
The right-handed Nathan Eovaldi is the probable starter for the visiting BoSox. Eovaldi is 5-4 with a 3.74 ERA and 62 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Phillies this year and did not record a start against them in 2017, either.
The Phillies will be sending righty Vince Velasquez (8-9, 3.98 ERA) to the hill. Velasquez has 131 punchouts and 45 walks to his credit, as well as a WHIP of 1.22. Velasquez did not record a start against the Red Sox in 2017.
Philadelphia’s pitchers have given up 4.1 runs per game overall this season as a unit. Its starters have an ERA of 3.68, a WHIP of 1.19 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 8.8. The bullpen has a 3.82 ERA, 1.30 WHIP and 9.2 K/9.
The Philadelphia offense has put up 4.3 runs per contest, including 3.4 per game over its last 10 games and 1.8 per game over its last five. The team has hit .172/.235/.268 over its last five matchups and is 1-4 SU during that stretch.
The Phillies’ batters have been led by right fielder Odubel Herrera and second baseman Cesar Hernandez. Herrera is hitting .270/.324/.449 with 19 home runs, 61 RBIs and 54 runs scored, and Hernandez is hitting .261 with 10 homers, 38 RBIs, 73 runs and 14 stolen bases.
In the visiting dugout, Boston’s pitching staff allowed 3.7 runs per game and its starters own a 3.56 ERA, 1.18 WHIP and 9.62 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 3.32, along with a WHIP of 1.18 and a K/9 of 9.71.
The Red Sox offense has slashed .269/.341/.465 on its way to 5.5 runs scored per game this year, including 7.0 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 7.2 per game over the team’s last five outings (5-0 SU).
J.D. Martinez and Mookie Betts have paced Boston’s offense. Martinez is hitting .333/.400/.665 with 37 home runs, 104 RBIs and 87 runs scored, while Betts (.350/.439/.668) is up to 27 homers, 63 RBIs, 99 runs and 24 stolen bases.
The Red Sox have gained 33.3 units and are 59-32 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has cashed in 41 of those games, compared to 46 that’ve gone under against right-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the Phillies have netted 11.3 units and are 44-46 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in 37 of those games, as opposed to 49 that’ve gone under.
Boston Red Sox vs. Philadelphia Phillies Free Prediction
Predictions: SU Winner – Red Sox, ATS Winner – Red Sox, O/U – OVER
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Notes
Betting Trends
Boston has tallied 25 extra-base hits over its last five contests. Philadelphia has eight XBH over its last five.
The Red Sox have hit 20 home runs in their last 10 games, including 11 over their last five.
Philadelphia has averaged 16.6 runs + hits + errors over its last 10 outings and 12.6 over its last five.
The Red Sox have won 11 of their last 12 games SU while the Phillies have lost four of their last five.
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