The Boston Red Sox are paying a visit to Philadelphia to face the Phillies at Citizens Bank Park. New England Sports Network is in line to broadcast this interleague matchup and the game gets going at 7:05 p.m. ET.
Boston Red Sox at Philadelphia Phillies Odds
Boston (-140) is favored against Philadelphia (+130) and Vegas has set the Over/Under for this night game at 9 runs (-110 for the over and -110 for the under). You can also bet on the game’s spread with the runline odds standing at +105 for the Red Sox -1.5 runs and -125 for the Phillies +1.5.
The Red Sox are 85-35 SU and are 74-46 against the spread (ATS). They’ve gained 33.8 units for gamblers taking the moneyline and 28.5 units ATS. Boston has covered the spread six times in its last seven games and the total has gone over in four of those seven. The Phillies, on the other hand, are 65-52 SU and 57-60 ATS. They’ve gained 12.6 units for bettors taking the moneyline while earning 11.1 units ATS. Philadelphia has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the under has cashed in six of those seven.
Phillies games have an over/under record of 49-63-5 in 2018. Red Sox games have gone under 60 times, gone over 55 times and pushed on five occasions.
Right-hander Rick Porcello is the probable starter for the visiting Red Sox. Porcello is 14-5 with a 4.17 ERA and 140 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Phillies this year and only made one start against them in 2017 (0-0, 7.50 ERA and four strikeouts over six innings).
The Phillies are turning to righty Nick Pivetta (7-9, 4.51 ERA), who’s got 147 strikeouts and 33 walks to his credit as well as a WHIP of 1.28. Pivetta only made one start against the Red Sox in 2017 (0-0, 0.00 ERA and nine strikeouts across seven innings).
Philadelphia’s pitchers have yielded 4.1 runs per game overall this season as a unit. The team’s starters have a 3.70 ERA, 1.20 WHIP and 8.8 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 3.83 ERA, 1.30 WHIP and 9.3 K/9.
The Philadelphia offense is putting up 4.3 runs per outing, including 3.8 per game over its last 10 games and 2.6 per game over its last five. The team has slashed .193/.278/.292 over its last five contests and is 2-3 SU during that stretch.
The Phillies’ offense has been led by outfielder Odubel Herrera and second baseman Cesar Hernandez. Herrera is hitting .269/.324/.450 with 19 home runs, 61 RBIs and 54 runs scored, while Hernandez’s line is .263/.374/.373 with 10 homers, 38 RBIs, 73 runs and 14 stolen bases.
In the visiting dugout, Boston’s pitchers have allowed 3.7 runs per game and its starters own a 3.59 ERA, 1.19 WHIP and 9.59 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 3.34, along with a K-per-9 of 9.69.
Red Sox hitters have slashed .270/.342/.465 on their way to 5.5 runs scored per game this year, including 7.2 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 7.8 per game over the team’s last five outings (4-1 SU).
Boston’s hitters have been led by J.D. Martinez and Mookie Betts, who have combined to swat 64 home runs. Martinez is slashing .333/.401/.669 with 37 home runs, 104 RBIs and 87 runs scored. Betts (.350/.438/.668) is up to 27 homers, 63 RBIs, 99 runs and 23 steals.
The Red Sox have gained 33.3 units and are 59-32 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has hit in 41 of those games, compared to 46 that’ve gone under against right-handed starting pitchers.
Boston Red Sox at Philadelphia Phillies Prediction
Predictions: SU Winner – Red Sox, ATS Winner – Red Sox, O/U – OVER
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Notes
Betting Trends
Boston has logged 25 extra-base hits over its last five contests. Philadelphia has nine XBH over its last five.
The Red Sox have won 10 of their last 11 games SU.
Boston has recorded 26.2 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 28.2 over its last five.
The Red Sox have hit 19 home runs in their last 10 games, including 11 over their last five.
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