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Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays Free Pick 08/25/18

Winslow Townson-USA TODAY Sports

The Boston Red Sox will take on their division rival Tampa Bay Rays at Tropicana Field. The game gets underway 6:10 p.m. ET and New England Sports Network will showcase the matchup.

Boston Red Sox at Tampa Bay Rays Odds

The Rays are 68-61 straight up (SU) and 69-59 against the spread (ATS). The team has gained 11.6 units for moneyline bettors and 11.6 units (ATS). The Red Sox, on the other hand, have gone 90-40 SU this year and are 79-50 ATS. In total, the team’s accumulated 33.2 units for moneyline bettors and 29.6 units ATS.

Rays games have an over/under record of 53-71-4 in 2018. The Red Sox have an over/under record of 59-64-6.

Boston’s pitching staff allowed 3.7 runs per game and its starters own a 3.66 ERA, 1.19 WHIP and 9.46 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 3.30, along with a WHIP of 1.19 and a K/9 of 9.57.

Red Sox hitters have slashed .270/.341/.460 on their way to 5.4 runs scored per game in 2018, including 5.6 runs per game against divisional foes and 5.4 per game over the team’s last five outings (2-3 SU).

Boston’s hitters have been led by J.D. Martinez and Mookie Betts, who have combined to swat 65 home runs. Martinez is slashing .335/.406/.654 with 38 home runs, 110 RBIs and 95 runs scored. Betts is hitting .338 with 27 homers, 64 RBIs, 104 runs and 24 stolen bases.

In the other dugout, Tampa Bay’s pitching staff has allowed 4.0 runs per game overall this year. The team’s starters have a 3.72 ERA, 1.19 WHIP and 9.3 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 3.70 ERA, 1.22 WHIP and 8.3 K/9. In 57 games against divisional opponents, Rays starters have an ERA of 4.78 and the bullpen’s ERA is 3.70.

The Tampa Bay offense has produced 4.2 runs per outing, including 3.9 per game against divisional foes and 5.0 per game over its last five. The team’s hit .341/.409/.451 over its last five contests and is 5-0 SU during that span.

The Rays’ offense has been led by third baseman Matt Duffy and left fielder Mallex Smith. Duffy is slashing .294/.352/.368 with four home runs, 33 RBIs and 44 runs scored, and Smith’s line sits at .307/.377/.433 with 115 hits, 31 RBIs, 50 runs and 27 stolen bases.

The Rays have gained 4.3 units and are 47-43 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in 41 of those games, compared to 47 that’ve hit the under against righty starters.

Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Rays, ATS Winner – Red Sox, O/U – OVER

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Notes

Betting Notes

The under has cashed in four of Tampa Bay’s last seven games.

Tampa Bay has recorded 23.3 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 28.6 over its last five.

Both teams have hit six home runs over their last 10 outings.

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