The Toronto Blue Jays will play host to the Boston Red Sox at Rogers Centre. New England Sports Network is in line to televise the matchup and the game is slated to get going at 7:07 p.m. ET.
Boston Red Sox at Toronto Blue Jays Odds
Toronto (+115) is the home-team underdog against Boston (-125) and Vegas has put the Over/Under for this game at 9 runs. Odds for betting on the game’s total sit at +100 for the under and -120 for the over. The game’s current runline odds stand at +120 for taking the Red Sox -1.5 runs and -140 for the Blue Jays +1.5.
The Red Sox have gone 79-34 SU this year and are 68-45 against the spread (ATS). They’ve gained 29.4 units for moneyline gamblers and 23.1 units ATS. Boston’s covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the under has hit in five of those seven. The Blue Jays, on the other hand, are 51-60 SU and 50-61 ATS. They’ve lost 6.7 units for moneyline bettors and 18.9 units ATS. Toronto has a 3-4 ATS record over its last seven outings and the total has gone over in five of those seven.
Toronto games have had an over/under record of 56-47-8 in 2018. Boston has been a decent under bet with a total record of 51-58-4.
The southpaw Drew Pomeranz is the probable starter for the visiting Red Sox. Pomeranz is 1-5 with a 6.56 ERA and 43 strikeouts. He’s 0-0 with six strikeouts and a 6.75 ERA against Toronto this year.
The Blue Jays are planning to start righty Marcus Stroman (4-8, 5.63 ERA), who’s got 68 strikeouts and 30 walks, as well as a WHIP of 1.49. Stroman is 0-1 with four strikeouts and a 5.40 ERA in one start against Boston this year.
Toronto’s pitchers have allowed 5.0 runs per game overall in 2018 as a unit. The team’s starters have a 4.84 ERA, 1.40 WHIP and 7.9 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.44 ERA, 1.38 WHIP and 9.2 K/9. In 42 games against divisional opponents, Blue Jays starters have an ERA of 4.46 and the bullpen’s ERA is 3.10.
The Toronto hitters have put up 4.5 runs per contest, including 3.9 per game against divisional foes and 5.0 per game over their last five. The team’s hit .287/.332/.489 over its last five matchups and is 3-2 SU during that span.
The Blue Jays’ batters have been led by third baseman Yangervis Solarte and first baseman Justin Smoak. Solarte is slashing .233/.285/.401 with 17 home runs, 53 RBIs and 48 runs scored, while Smoak is batting .252 with 17 homers, 56 RBIs and 47 runs.
For the visiting squad, Boston’s pitchers have allowed 3.6 runs per game and its starters own a 3.49 ERA, 1.18 WHIP and 9.59 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 3.33, along with a WHIP of 1.18 and a K/9 of 9.60.
The Red Sox offense has slashed .269/.339/.457 on its way to 5.3 runs scored per game in 2018, including 5.3 runs per game against divisional foes and 5.8 per game over the team’s last five contests (4-1 SU).
Boston’s hitters have been paced by J.D. Martinez and Mookie Betts, who have combined to belt 59 home runs. Martinez is slashing .324/.392/.641 with 33 home runs, 93 RBIs and 80 runs scored, while Betts (.342/.428/.652) is up to 26 homers, 58 RBIs, 89 runs and 21 steals.
The Red Sox have gained 27.3 units and are 53-32 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has hit in 38 of those games, as opposed to 44 that’ve hit the under in such games. On the other hand, the Blue Jays have lost 11.0 units and are 18-22 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher. The over’s hit in 18 of those games, compared to 18 that’ve cashed the under.
Boston Red Sox at Toronto Blue Jays Free MLB Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Red Sox, ATS Winner – Red Sox, O/U – OVER
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Notes
Betting Trends
The under has cashed in five of Boston’s last seven games.
The Red Sox have hit 11 home runs in their last 10 games, including seven over their last five.
Toronto has recorded 23.6 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 25.4 over its last five.
The Red Sox have won eight of their last nine games SU.
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