The Toronto Blue Jays will play host to their division rival Boston Red Sox at Rogers Centre. The action will begin at 7:07 p.m. ET and New England Sports Network is in line to showcase the game.
Boston Red Sox vs. Toronto Blue Jays Odds
Vegas has listed Boston (-200) as the favorite over Toronto (+185). The total stands at eight runs and bettors can take either the over or the under for -110. Gamblers can also bet on the game’s runline with the most recent odds standing at -140 for the Red Sox -1.5 runs and +120 for the Blue Jays +1.5.
The Blue Jays are 20-18 SU and 20-17 ATS. They’ve gained 2.0 units for moneyline bettors and 3.0 units against the spread (ATS). Toronto has a 3-4 ATS mark over its last seven games and the total has gone under in three of those seven. The Red Sox have gone 26-11 SU this year and are 17-19 ATS. Overall, the team’s accumulated 8.8 units for gamblers taking the moneyline in this young season, but have lost 3.0 units ATS. Boston is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the total has gone under in four of those seven.
Toronto games have an over/under record of 16-16-5 thus far in 2018. The Red Sox have an over/under record of 19-16-1.
The southpaw Chris Sale is getting the start for the visiting BoSox. Sale is 3-1 with a 2.02 ERA and 63 strikeouts. He’s 1-0 with four strikeouts and a 4.50 ERA against Toronto this year (four starts).
The Blue Jays are handing the ball to righty Aaron Sanchez (2-3, 4.14 ERA), who’s got 28 strikeouts and 22 walks to his name, as well as a 1.45 WHIP. Sanchez is 0-0 with eight strikeouts and a 3.00 ERA in one start against Boston this year.
Toronto’s pitching staff has given up 4.7 runs per game overall in 2018 as a unit. Its starters have a 5.53 ERA, 1.50 WHIP and 8.2 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a solid ERA of just 2.95, a WHIP of 1.34 and a K/9 of 9.1. In 17 games against divisional opponents, Blue Jays starters have an ERA of 4.72 and the bullpen’s ERA is 2.39.
The Toronto hitters are putting up 4.9 runs per outing, including 3.4 per game against divisional foes and 2.6 per game over their last five. The team has hit .215/.257/.367 over its last five games and is 2-3 SU during that span.
The Blue Jays’ batters have been led by outfielder Kevin Pillar and third baseman Yangervis Solarte. Pillar is slashing .315/.359/.538 with four home runs, 17 RBIs, 24 runs and six steals, and Solarte is hitting .270 with nine homers, 23 RBIs and 21 runs.
Pillar seemed to enjoy hitting lefty pitching at home last season, slashing .333/.364/.583 over 77 such plate appearances (his total season line was .255/.300/.403).
In the other dugout, Boston’s pitchers have allowed 3.8 runs per game and its starters own a 3.52 ERA, 1.15 WHIP and 9.58 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 3.79, along with a K/9 of 10.00.
The Red Sox offense has slashed .270/.334/.462 on its way to 5.5 runs scored per game this year, including 5.3 runs per game against divisional foes and 5.0 per game over the team’s last five contests (3-2 SU).
Boston’s hitters have been led by Mookie Betts and J.D. Martinez, who’ve collectively blasted 22 home runs. Betts is hitting .361/.441/.803 with 13 home runs, 27 RBIs and 38 runs scored, while Martinez (.348/.395/.623) is up to nine homers, 29 RBIs and 23 runs scored.
Martinez didn’t do as well batting against right-handed pitchers on the road in 2017. Over 177 such plate appearances, he maintained a slash line of .255/.299/.588 (his overall season line was .303/.376/.690).
The Red Sox have gained 10.4 units and are 15-13 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has hit in 16 of those games, compared to 11 that’ve gone under against right-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the Blue Jays have lost 0.8 units and are 9-5 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in six of those games, compared to six which went under the total.
Boston Red Sox at Toronto Blue Jays MLB Tip
Predictions: SU Winner – Red Sox, ATS Winner – Red Sox, O/U – OVER
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Notes
Betting Trends
The Red Sox have hit 21 home runs in their last 10 games. The Blue Jays have hit 13 over their last 10.
Boston has posted 25.6 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 24.6 over its last five.
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