The Boston Red Sox will make a road trip to Rogers Centre to play their division rival Toronto Blue Jays. The matchup will begin at 7:07 p.m. ET and New England Sports Network will televise the game.
Boston Red Sox at Toronto Blue Jays Odds
Oddsmakers have listed Boston (-155) as the favorite over Toronto (+145). Bettors can wager on the game’s total with odds sitting at even money (+100) for over 9 runs and -120 for under 9. You can also wager on the game’s runline with the odds standing at -110 for the Red Sox -1.5 runs and -110 for the Blue Jays +1.5.
The Red Sox have gone 79-34 SU this year and are 69-45 against the spread (ATS). They’ve accumulated 30.4 units for moneyline bettors and 24.6 units ATS. Boston has covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the total has gone under in four of those seven. The Blue Jays, on the other hand, are 51-60 SU and 50-62 ATS. They’ve lost 7.8 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 20.5 units ATS. Toronto has a 3-4 ATS mark over its last seven games and the total has gone over in five of those seven.
Toronto games have an over/under record of 57-47-8 in 2018. Red Sox games have gone under 58 times, gone over 52 times and pushed on four instances.
Rick Porcello is getting the start for the visiting Red Sox. The right-handed Porcello (14-4, 3.84 ERA) has recorded 135 strikeouts in 140.2 innings so far. He’s 1-1 with 16 strikeouts and a 7.47 ERA against Toronto this year (three starts).
The Blue Jays are turning to lefty Ryan Borucki (1-2, 2.30 ERA), who’s got 30 strikeouts and 11 walks as well as a WHIP of 1.26. Borucki is 0-0 with five strikeouts and a 12.00 ERA in one start against Boston this year.
Boston’s pitching staff allowed 3.6 runs per game and its starters own a 3.49 ERA, 1.18 WHIP and 9.59 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 3.33, along with a K-per-9 of 9.60.
Red Sox hitters have slashed .269/.339/.457 on their way to 5.3 runs scored per game in 2018, including 5.3 runs per game against divisional foes and 5.8 per game over the team’s last five contests (4-1 SU).
Boston’s offensive production has been sparked by J.D. Martinez and Mookie Betts, who collectively have blasted 59 home runs. Martinez is slashing .324/.392/.641 with 33 home runs, 93 RBIs and 80 runs scored, while Betts is hitting .342 with 26 homers, 58 RBIs, 89 runs and 21 stolen bases.
In the other dugout, Toronto’s pitchers have given up 5.0 runs per game overall this season. Its starters have an ERA of 4.84, a WHIP of 1.40 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 7.9. The bullpen has a 4.44 ERA, 1.38 WHIP and 9.2 K/9. In 42 divisional games, Blue Jays starters have an ERA of 4.46 and the bullpen’s ERA is 3.10.
Toronto’s hitters are putting up 4.5 runs per contest, including 3.9 per game against divisional foes and 5.0 per game over their last five. The team has a slash-line of .287/.332/.489 over its last five contests and is 3-2 SU during that span.
Third baseman Yangervis Solarte and first baseman Justin Smoak have paced the Blue Jays’ offense this year. Solarte is slashing .233/.285/.401 with 17 home runs, 53 RBIs and 48 runs scored, and Smoak’s line sits at .252/.360/.469 with 17 homers, 56 RBIs and 47 runs.
The Red Sox have gained 2.1 units and are 15-13 ATS when facing a lefty starter this season. The over has hit in 13 of those games, compared to 14 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Blue Jays have netted 4.3 units and are 32-39 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over has hit in 38 of those games, compared to 29 that went under the total.
Boston Red Sox vs. Toronto Blue Jays Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Red Sox, ATS Winner – Red Sox, O/U – OVER
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Notes
Betting Trends
Boston has recorded 22 extra-base hits over its last five contests. Toronto has 21 XBH over its last five.
The Red Sox have won eight of their last nine games SU.
Boston has posted 23.3 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 25.0 over its last five.
The Red Sox have hit 11 home runs in their last 10 games, including seven over their last five.
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