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Brooklyn Nets vs Atlanta Hawks Game 4 Prediction

The Atlanta Hawks will travel to the Barclays Center to take on the Brooklyn Nets in Game 4 of the Eastern Conference Quarterfinals. Action begins at 7:05 pm ET on Monday, Apr. 27 and can be seen on FSN-S and My9.

The Nets enter this game hoping for similar success after topping the Hawks 91-83 on Saturday. Bojan Bogdanovic was a key piece with 19 points, three steals, and three rebounds. Atlanta still lost despite the best efforts of Paul Millsap, who recorded his 15th double-double of the season with 18 points and 17 rebounds.

Atlanta takes on Brooklyn as a four-point favorite. The Over/Under (O/U) for the matchup is sitting at 195 points. The Nets have gone 38-44 Straight Up (SU) and 39-41-2 Against The Spread (ATS). They are 24-28 SU and 23-28-1 ATS against the Eastern Conference.

Over on the other bench, the Hawks have a record of 49-32-1 ATS and 60-22 SU. Against the Eastern Conference, Atlanta is 38-14 SU and 30-21-1 ATS. The Hawks convert their shots at a high percentage, ranking fourth in the league at .466. The Hawks are an unselfish team with an average of 25.7 assists per game, ranking second in the NBA. Moving on to Atlanta’s defense, the Hawks allow just 97.1 points per game, ranking them fifth in the league. Teams with weak ball handling have not fared well against the Hawks, who rank fifth in the league with 9.1 steals per game. Atlanta is the fifth-best team in the league at scoring points off turnovers with 18.2 per game.

With the Nets’ last win against Atlanta, Brooklyn moved closer to evening up its record against Atlanta. It now stands at 3-7 SU over the last 10 meetings. The Nets lead the matchup ATS with a record of 6-4. Brooklyn held the edge in field goals, rebounds, and three-pointers once, while Atlanta was never able to do so in their most recent 10 games.

Predictions: SU Winner – ATL, ATS Winner – ATL, O/U – Under

Notes

On average, Atlanta puts up 102.5 points per game (ranked 10th). Brooklyn ranks 18th in points allowed per game with 100.9.

Brooklyn ranks 23rd in points allowed per home game (101.3 PPG), while Atlanta ranks eighth in points per away game with 101.6.

When allowing fewer than 100 points, the Hawks are 44-5 on the season. When the Nets score fewer than 100, they are an underachieving 9-37.

Atlanta is 16-17 when allowing 100 or more points this season. The Nets have a tremendous 29-7 record when hitting triple digits.

The Nets have a defensive rating of 104.8 (ranked 24th), while the Hawks rank sixth for their offensive rating of 106.3.

The Atlanta Hawks have one of the best field goal percentages this season, ranking fourth in the league with a FG% of 46.6%. When their opponents record a similar or higher FG%, the Brooklyn Nets have a poor 9-25 record.

On average, Brooklyn attempts 19.9 three pointers and Atlanta attempts 26.2 per game. In games where the teams have 25 or more three point attempts, the Nets have a 4-10 record while the Hawks have a solid 38-15 record.

Brooklyn has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.56 this season (ranked 19th). Atlanta ranks higher with an A/TO of 1.91 (ranked third).

Atlanta ranks 28th in rebounds per game with 40.6, while Brooklyn ranks 22nd with 42.4.

The Atlanta Hawks rank 30th in offensive rebounding, while the Brooklyn Nets rank 17th in defensive rebounding.

Atlanta is one of the top teams in forced turnovers, with opponents averaging a TOV% of 16.0% (ranked third). Brooklyn has a subpar record of 6-20 SU this season when its TOV% reaches 16.0% or greater.

Written by GMS Previews

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