The Atlanta Hawks (11-30) challenge the Brooklyn Nets (15-26) at Philips Arena. The game starts at 7:30 p.m. ET on Friday, January 12, 2018, and will air on YES Network.
Atlanta is a 3-point favorite on the opening line, while the Over/Under (O/U) for the game opened at 211 points.
Brooklyn Nets at Atlanta Hawks ATS Prediction
The Nets are trying to rebound after their 114-80 loss to the Detroit Pistons in their last contest. Detroit’s rebounding was their biggest strength. The Pistons had more offensive rebounds (11 vs. two), defensive rebounds (43 vs. 33) and total rebounds (54 vs. 35). Rondae Hollis-Jefferson had a solid performance for Brooklyn, contributing 15 points and seven rebounds.
In the Hawks’ last matchup, they beat the Denver Nuggets, 110-97. One of Atlanta’s biggest strengths was their ability to convert at the free throw line. They were 18-18 (100.0 percent), while the Nuggets were just 12-20 (60.0 percent). Dennis Schroder led Atlanta in scoring with 19 points on 6-for-15 shooting.
This has potential to be a sloppy game for the offense of Brooklyn. Brooklyn ranks 21st in the league in ball protection (turnover percentage of 14.7 percent), while the pesky defense of Atlanta forces the most turnovers in the NBA (16.0 percent).
Brooklyn has an excellent 25-16 record against the spread (ATS), despite being 15-26 straight up (SU). Vegas tends to set the total high when the Nets are involved, as 23 of their 41 games have ended under the projected point total.
Meanwhile, Atlanta is 11-30 SU and 22-17-2 ATS. Vegas has typically been fairly accurate when setting the O/U total of Hawks games, with 20 overs compared to 20 unders.
The Nets have won two out of three against the Hawks this season, including a 20-point blowout in their last matchup. Brooklyn covered as a 1-point underdog and the game finished with a total of 200 points, which was 21.5 points below the projected point total of 221.5 points. Brooklyn had a much better offensive rebounding percentage (29.3 vs. 18.4). Atlanta, meanwhile, did an excellent job of making free throws (21-27; 77.8 percent). Schroder was the game’s top overall scorer with 19 points.
Brooklyn Nets vs. Atlanta Hawks Betting Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Nets, ATS Winner – Nets, O/U – Under
Notes
Betting Notes:
On the road, Brooklyn is 13-8 ATS with 12 unders and 9 overs.
Atlanta is 10-8 ATS at home with 10 overs, 7 unders and 1 push.
In games where they hold opponents under 100 points, Atlanta is 4-3 and Brooklyn is 10-1.
The Nets are 11-18 when they score over 100 points, while the Hawks are 11-17.
Brooklyn averages 34.0 three pointers per game, which ranks second in the league. Atlanta ranks 27th in three pointers allowed per game (31.0).
The Hawks rank second in points off turnovers per game (18.7) while the Nets rank 25th (14.7).
Brooklyn ranks sixth in assists allowed per game (21.0) while Atlanta ranks 29th (25.5).
The Hawks rank seventh in steals per game (8.5) while the Nets rank 29th (6.5).
Brooklyn ranks fourth in rebounds per game (45.7) while Atlanta ranks 26th (40.5).
The Nets average 12.2 second chance points per game, which ranks 14th in the league. The Hawks rank 27th in second chance points allowed per game (14.0).
Brooklyn ranks 14th in points in the paint per game (43.8) while Atlanta ranks 26th (41.1).
The Hawks rank 21st in blocks per game (4.2) while the Nets rank 28th in blocks allowed per game (5.8).
Brooklyn ranks 16th in fast break points per game (10.3) while Atlanta ranks 20th in fast break points allowed per game (12.1).
Bettings Trends:
In their last five games, Brooklyn is 4-1 ATS with 4 unders and 1 over.
Atlanta is 2-2-1 ATS with 3 unders and 2 overs over their last five games.
The Nets’ average margin of defeat in their last five games has been 6.6, up from 3.0 for the season.
During their last five games, the Hawks have scored an average of 104.4 points per game (0.4 above their season average) and allowed an average of 110.2 points per game (2.0 above their season average).
