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Brooklyn Nets vs Oklahoma City Thunder Prediction

The Brooklyn Nets head to Chesapeake Energy Arena to take on the Oklahoma City Thunder. The game gets underway at 8:00 pm ET on Wednesday, Nov. 25 and will air on YES and FxK.

The Thunder won big over the Jazz 111-89 on Monday. Kevin Durant was the game’s high scorer with 27 points on 10-for-13 shooting. The Nets, meanwhile, are coming off a 111-101 win over the Celtics on Sunday. Jarrett Jack played well, posting 22 points, four rebounds, and four assists.

Over the last five games, Russell Westbrook has really been playing well for the Thunder. During that stretch, he has averaged 33.6 points, 6.4 rebounds, 9.8 assists, 2.8 steals, 0.6 blocks, and 1.8 three-pointers. On the other side, the Nets have been led by Thaddeus Young. He has been on a tear, averaging 18.8 points, 10.2 rebounds, 1.2 assists, and 2.4 steals in the same time frame.

When considering effective field goal percentage, the Thunder figure to have a significant advantage on the offensive end. They rank fifth in the NBA in that category at 51.8%, whereas Brooklyn’s poor effective field goal percentage defense ranks 30th, with opponents connecting at a clip of 52.7%.

The Thunder are a considerable 12-point favorite at home and the Over/Under (O/U) for this matchup is set at 210 points. Even with a positive Straight Up (SU) record of 9-6, the Thunder are 6-9 Against The Spread (ATS) in those games. They have gone 3-4 SU and 2-5 ATS against teams from the Eastern Conference. The Thunder have one of the most prolific offenses in the entire league, averaging 109.8 points per game. The Thunder have a distinct advantage on the boards in this matchup. They are the top-ranked rebounding team in the NBA, averaging 47.4 per game, while the Nets rank 15th in the league with 44.6 per game. As for the Oklahoma City defense, an area where the Thunder are particularly strong is shot blocking, where they average 7.3 blocks per game, second in the NBA.

Across the court, Brooklyn has a SU record of 3-11 and an ATS record of 7-7. Against teams in the Western Conference, Brooklyn has a record of 4-2 ATS, but only 1-5 SU.

This is the first meeting of the season for the Thunder and the Nets. The last time they played Brooklyn came out on top, but the Thunder still lead the head-to-head record, 6-4 SU, over the last 10 matchups. However, the Nets lead the matchup ATS with a record of 6-4.

Predictions: SU Winner – OKC, ATS Winner – OKC, O/U – Over

Notes

Oklahoma City is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games.

Oklahoma City is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games.

Oklahoma City is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games at home.

Oklahoma City is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games at home.

Oklahoma City is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Brooklyn.

The total has gone OVER in 7 of Oklahoma City’s last 10 games when playing Brooklyn.

Oklahoma City is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Brooklyn.

Oklahoma City is 8-4 SU in its last 12 games when playing Brooklyn.

Oklahoma City is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Brooklyn.

Oklahoma City is 15-6 SU in its last 21 games when playing at home against Brooklyn.

On average, Brooklyn puts up 96.7 points per game (ranked 25th), while Oklahoma City allows 104.1 points per game (ranked 23rd).

Brooklyn ranks 24th in points per away game with 95.4 points, while Oklahoma City ranks 16th in points allowed at home with 100.0.

In games where they allow fewer than 100 points, the Oklahoma City Thunder are a winning 3-1. In games where they fail to hit triple digits, the Brooklyn Nets have a subpar record of 1-8.

Oklahoma City has a 6-5 record when allowing at least 100 points. Brooklyn has a 2-3 record when it hits the century mark.

The Nets have a defensive rating of 106.4 (ranked 25th). The Thunder rank second for their offensive rating of 108.3.

On average, Oklahoma City has 101.3 possessions per game and scores 1.083 points on each possession. Brooklyn has both fewer possessions (98.3) and scores fewer points during those possessions (.984).

The Oklahoma City Thunder have one of the best effective field goal percentages this season, ranking fifth in the league with an EFF% of 51.8%. When their opponents record a similar or higher EFF%, the Brooklyn Nets are winless with a 0-5 record.

Oklahoma City has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.32 this season (ranked 23rd). Brooklyn ranks higher with an A/TO of 1.46 (ranked 16th).

Oklahoma City is the best rebounding team in the NBA this season with 47.4 per game. On the other side, Brooklyn is in the top half of the league, ranking 15th with 44.6 per game.

The Brooklyn Nets rank ninth in offensive rebounding, while the Oklahoma City Thunder rank 13th in defensive rebounding.

Oklahoma City has forced an average turnover percentage of 14.4% this season. Brooklyn has an underachieving 1-6 record when its TOV% is 14.4% or higher.

Written by GMS Previews

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