The Princeton Tigers (17-5) look to extend their nine-game home winning streak when they take on the Brown Bears (7-16), who have dropped six in a row on the road. The game gets underway at 6:00 pm ET on Saturday, Feb. 20.
The Tigers were victorious over Yale 75-63 on Friday. Spencer Weisz had 15 points, seven rebounds, and three steals for Princeton. The Bears are coming off a 79-74 loss to Penn on Friday. Obi Okolie had a game-high 23 points.
Second-chance opportunities are expected to be few and far between for the Bears in this contest. They rank 299th in the nation in offensive rebounding (OR% of 26.1%), while Princeton is seventh-best in the nation on the defensive backboards (DR% of 76.3%).
This will be the second matchup of the season between these two teams. The Tigers won the first game 83-59. Despite the loss, Steven Spieth was a top performer in the game with 24 points, four rebounds, one block, and one three-pointer.
The Tigers enter the game with records of 17-5 Straight Up (SU) and 8-5-1 Against The Spread (ATS). The Tigers have one of the most prolific offenses in the entire nation, averaging 79.4 points per game. The Tigers, sporting the 49th-best assist-to-turnover ratio in Division I (1.31), have proven themselves to be an extremely efficient offensive team. The Princeton defense has done poorly against opposing offenses during the last 10 games, allowing an average of 77.8 points per game, well above their season average of 67.5. Teams really have to fight for three-pointers against the Tigers, who have allowed only 6.0 three-pointers to opponents per game. The Tigers do a great job keeping their opponents off of the glass and limiting second-chance points. They average 28.0 defensive rebounds per game, which ranks 28th in Division I.
Across the court, the Bears head into the game with records of 9-7 ATS and 7-16 SU. During the last 10 games, they averaged 82.8 PPG, above their 74.1 PPG season average. The last 10 games have really brought out the best of the Bears on the defensive end. They’ve allowed 66.1 points per game during that span, which is lower than their season average of 78.0.
Princeton won the last meeting this season between these two teams, moving its SU record against Brown to 8-2 in their most recent head-to-head meetings. Additionally, Princeton leads the matchup ATS with a record of 7-3. When it comes to field goals, rebounds, and three-pointers, Princeton held the edge in all three of these categories twice in the last five meetings. Brown never did so in those games.
Predictions: SU Winner – Prince, ATS Winner – Prince
Notes
“Princeton is 9-1-1 SU in its last 11 games “.
“Princeton is 10-0-1 SU in its last 11 games at home”.
“Princeton is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Brown”.
“Princeton is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Brown”.
“The total has gone OVER in 4 of Princeton’s last 6 games when playing Brown”.
“Princeton is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Brown”.
“Princeton is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Brown”.
Princeton averages 79.4 points per game (ranked 37th). Brown, on the other hand, allows 78.0 points per game (ranked 233rd).
Princeton is one of the top-scoring teams at home, averaging 86.3 points per game (ranked 11th). Brown, on the other hand, allows 80.5 points per away game (ranked 224th).
Ranked 43rd, the Princeton Tigers have an offensive rating of 112.9. The Brown Bears rank 289th with a defensive rating of just 108.6.
The Brown Bears average 71.7 possessions per game and 1.033 points per possession. The Princeton Tigers earn fewer possessions with 70.3, but they score more points with 1.129.
The Brown Bears average an effective field goal percentage of 50.3% this season. The Princeton Tigers have split their games this season (4-4) when opponents have an eFG% of 50.3% or greater.
On average, Princeton attempts 25.0 three pointers and Brown attempts 23.0. In games where they have 20 or more three point attempts, the Princeton Tigers have a winning 14-5 record while the Brown Bears have a poor 5-13 record.
Princeton ranks 49th in the nation with an assist-to-turnover ratio of 1.31. Brown is ranked lower at 126th with an A/TO of 1.13.
Princeton, the 89th-ranked team in rebounding, register an average of 38.2 rebounds per game. Brown does worse, ranked 169th with 36.5.
Brown ranks 272nd in offensive rebounds, while Princeton ranks at 28th in defensive rebounds.
On average, Brown forces a turnover rate of 16.4%. When Princeton turns over the ball at a similar or higher rate, the team has an outstanding 6-2 record.
