The Buffalo Bills and New York Jets are ready to collide on the turf at MetLife Stadium. Kickoff for this matchup is scheduled for 1:00 p.m. ET and CBS will broadcast the action.
Buffalo Bills at New York Jets Betting Preview
In this Sunday AFC matchup, New York has been tabbed as the favorite and the team’s currently giving up 8 points. The Bills are also receiving +250 moneyline odds while the Jets are -310. It appears that there should be some solid live betting opportunities in this game, and Vegas has placed the over/under (O/U) at 36.5 points.
The sharp action has been siding with the Bills. The line initially opened at -9 while the over/under was originally 37.
The Bills are 3-6 against the spread (ATS) and are down 4.8 units so far. They’ve been a good under bet and have posted an O/U mark of 3-6. The Jets have lost 2.2 units this season. The team is 3-6 ATS and owns an O/U record of 5-4.
The Bills have gone 2-7 straight up (SU), including 0-1 SU against AFC East opponents. The Jets are 3-6 SU overall and 0-2 SU against divisional foes.
The Bills are most-recently on the rebound after a 41-9 defeat to Chicago last week. The Bills defense did its part in the loss, keeping the Bears to just 135 passing yards and 64 yards on the ground. Offensively, Nathan Peterman completed 31-of-49 passes for just 189 yards and three interceptions. LeSean McCoy (10 rushing yards on 10 attempts) led the ground attack. Logan Thomas (seven receptions, 40 yards) and Kelvin Benjamin (four catches, 40 yards) shared the receiving duties in the defeat.
New York most-recently fell 13-6 to Miami last week. Sam Darnold completed 21-of-39 passes for 229 yards and four interceptions. Isaiah Crowell (49 rushing yards on 13 attempts) spearheaded the running game as Robby Anderson (four receptions, 32 yards) and Chris Herndon (four catches, 62 yards) led the receiving corps in the loss.
When glancing at offensive play-calling, each of these squads has a strikingly similar (45-55) run-pass ratio on the season. The Bills have rushed for 97 yards per game (including 46 per game versus East opponents) and have five touchdowns on the ground this year. The Jets are totaling 110 rushing yards per game (61 in conference) and have six total rush TDs.
The Bills offense has averaged 177 yards through the air overall (313 per game against conference opposition) and has three passing scores so far. The Jets have put up 215 pass yards per game (281.5 against AFC competition) and have 11 total pass TDs.
Defensively, Buffalo should have the upper hand when it comes to limiting the pass. The team has let opponents rush for an average of 102 yards and pass for 226 yards per game. The New York defense has allowed 261.6 yards per game to opposing passers and 109.2 yards per game on the ground. Both teams allow similar adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) to the opposition, as the Bills have given up an ANY/A of 5.96 to opposing QBs, while the Jets are allowing an ANY/A of 5.68.
Offensively, Anderson has put up 465 passing yards this season. He’s connected on 42-of-70 attempts with zero scores through the air and four interceptions. Anderson has a 3.36 adjusted net yards per pass attempt overall, although that number is 5.21 over the past two games.
Sam Darnold has managed to complete 145-of-260 passes for 1,781 yards, 10 TDs and 14 INTs for New York. His ANY/A sits at 4.38 for the season and 2.63 across his past two outings.
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Notes
Team Betting Trends
The Over/Under for Buffalo’s last game was set at 38. The over cashed in the team’s 41-9 loss to Chicago.
As a team, Buffalo has produced 4.0 yards per carry over its last three games and 3.0 over its last two.
New York has averaged 3.0 yards per carry over its last three outings and 3.0 over its past two.
Both teams have lost six fumbles this year.
In its last three matches, Buffalo is 0-3 ATS and the under cashed in two of those three.
Buffalo has lost six of its last seven games SU, with a one-point win over Tennessee on October 7th accounting for the only victory over that stretch.
The O/U for New York’s previous game was set at 43. The under cashed in that 13-6 loss to Miami.
In its last three matches, New York is 0-3 ATS and the under cashed in two of those three.
Each team has produced three pass plays of 40 yards or more. The Bills have have made seven pass plays of 30+ yards while the Jets have created six such plays.
The Buffalo defense has allowed one pass play of 40 yards or more, while New York has given up three such plays.
The Buffalo offense has created five rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while New York has created seven such runs.
The Bills defense has allowed six rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while the Jets have given up 12 such runs.
The Buffalo defense has sacked opposing QBs 22 times this season. New York has produced 21 sacks.
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