The Buffalo Bills and Indianapolis Colts are set to collide indoors at Lucas Oil Stadium. This early afternoon matchup will get going at 1:00 p.m. ET and CBS is scheduled to have the TV rights.
Buffalo Bills vs. Indianapolis Colts Betting Preview
In this Sunday AFC game, Indianapolis is projected as the favorite and the team’s currently giving up 7 points. The Bills are also receiving +220 moneyline odds while the Colts are -260. Vegas has set the over/under (O/U) at 43.5 points. Should Indianapolis falls behind early, it would probably produce a nice live betting opportunity.
The game’s O/U has swung down after opening at 44. The original spread has yet to change.
The Bills are 3-3 against the spread (ATS) and have lost 1.8 units so far in 2018. They’ve been a good under bet and have posted an Over-Under record of 2-4. The Colts have lost 3.3 units this season. The team is 2-4 ATS and four of its games have gone over the total.
The Bills have gone 2-4 straight up (SU) in 2018 while the Colts are 1-5 SU.
When these two franchises faced one another last year, Buffalo knocked off Buffalo by two field goals 13-7.
The Bills fell to Houston 20-13 in a Week 6 contest where the Bills completed 16-of-29 passes for 145 yards, one touchdown and two interceptions. Josh Allen went 10-for-17 for 84 yards while Nathan Peterman completed six-of-12 for 61 yards, one touchdown, and two interceptions. LeSean McCoy (73 yards on 16 rushes) led the running attack while Charles Clay (four receptions, 20 yards) and Zay Jones (three catches, 35 yards, one TD) shared the receiving duties in the defeat.
Indianapolis just lost a 42-34 game to the Jets a week ago. The defensive unit allowed the Jets to kill the clock by running for 107 yards on 36 rush attempts. Jermaine Kearse put up a productive outing in the win, recording 94 yards on nine catches for New York. For Indianapolis, Andrew Luck completed 23-of-43 passes for 301 yards, four touchdowns and three interceptions. Marlon Mack (89 yards on 12 rush attempts) handled the running game as Zach Pascal (five receptions, 35 yards) and Eric Ebron (four catches, 71 yards, one TD) led the pass-catching corps in the loss.
Buffalo’s run the ball on 49.7 percent of its offensive possessions this year while Indianapolis has a rush percentage of 30.0 percent. The Bills have produced 100 rush yards per game and have four touchdowns on the ground this year. The Colts are averaging 83 rushing yards per game and have only one rush TD.
If 2018 numbers are any indication, then the Colts could hold an edge when it comes to applying pressure. Their offensive line has given up only 10 sacks while their D-line has registered 19 sacks. The Bills offensive line has allowed 24 sacks and their defense has generated only 19 sacks.
The Bills offensive scheme has averaged 153 yards through the air overall and has three passing scores so far. The Colts have put up 299 pass yards per contest and have 16 total pass TD.
On the defensive side of the ball, Buffalo appears to have the upper hand in both phases. The team has allowed 93 rush yards and 236 pass yards per game. The Indianapolis D has allowed 297.7 yards per game to opposing passers and 106.8 yards per game to opposing runners. The Bills are giving up an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of just 5.50 to opponents, while the Colts have allowed a 6.54 ANY/A.
Offensively, Allen is up to 750 passing yards this season. He’s connected on 54 percent of his 120 attempts with two passing scores and four interceptions. Allen has a 3.19 adjusted net yards per pass attempt, including 2.62 over the last two outings.
LeSean McCoy (158 rushing yards, 62 receiving yards this season), Zay Jones (179 receiving yards, one receiving TD) and Kelvin Benjamin (135 receiving yards, one TD) have each played key roles of late.
Andrew Luck has managed to complete 148-of-229 passes for 1,427 yards, 13 TDs and six INTs for Indianapolis. His ANY/A stands at 5.68 for the year and 5.54 over his last two outings.
Similar to the Bills, expect a balanced attack offensively from Indianapolis this Sunday. As a trio, Eric Ebron, Nyheim Hines and Chester Rogers have combined for 421 yards from scrimmage and four touchdowns over the last two games.
RELATED: Week 7 NFL Betting Odds and Predictions
NFL Prediction: Buffalo Bills at Indianapolis Colts
SU Winner – Colts, ATS Winner – Bills, O/U – Under
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Notes
Team Betting Trends
The Over/Under for Buffalo’s last game was 40.5. The under cashed in the team’s 20-13 defeat to Houston.
As a team, Buffalo has rushed for 3.5 yards per attempt over its past three games and 3.5 over its last two.
Indianapolis has averaged 4.1 yards per carry over its last three outings and 4.8 over its past two.
The Indianapolis offense has lost five fumbles this season while Buffalo has lost two.
In its last three games, Buffalo is 2-1 ATS and the under cashed in each of those three.
The O/U for Indianapolis’ last outing was 48. The over cashed in the team’s 42-34 loss to the Jets.
Over its last three matches, Indianapolis is 0-3 ATS and the over cashed in each of those three.
The Bills have made five pass plays of 30+ yards while the Colts have produced four such plays.
The Buffalo defense has allowed one pass play of 40+ yards, while Indianapolis has given up zero such plays.
The Buffalo offense has created one rushing play of 20+ yards, while Indianapolis has created two such runs.
The Bills defense has allowed three rushing plays of 20+ yards, while the Colts have given up four such runs.
Each team defense has created 19 sacks this season.
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