The Cal Poly Mustangs (4-7) visit SMU to take on the Mustangs (9-3) in a game that will likely be low scoring. The game will air on ESPN 3 at 8 p.m. ET on Tuesday, December 19, 2017.
Cal Poly Mustangs vs. SMU Mustangs Free Prediction
In Cal Poly’s last game, they were blown out by the Princeton Tigers, 80-60. Princeton launched 24 three pointers, making 16 of them (66.7 percent). Cal Poly, on the other hand, was 4-16 (25.0 percent). Luke Meikle was the top scorer from either team with 18 points on 7-for-11 shooting.
SMU easily got past the Boise State Broncos in its last matchup, 86-63. SMU couldn’t miss, shooting 58.9 percent from the field. Boise State, on the other hand, had a field goal percentage of 37.7. Ethan Chargois was SMU’s high scorer with 16 points on 6-for-10 shooting.
Although Cal Poly has trouble winning games straight up (4-7 SU), they have a solid 5-4 record against the spread (ATS). Cal Poly games have a tendency to finish over the total (66.7 percent).
Meanwhile, SMU is 9-3 SU and 3-3 ATS. Unlike Cal Poly, games featuring SMU have a tendency to go under the O/U total (66.7 percent).
Cal Poly Mustangs at SMU Mustangs Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – SMU, ATS Winner – SMU, O/U – Over
Notes
Betting Notes:
SMU ranks 12th in assists per game (18.4) while Cal Poly ranks 161st (13.1).
Cal Poly ranks 22nd in three pointers allowed per game (17.6) while SMU ranks 140th (22.1).
SMU ranks 26th in rebounds allowed per game (31.2) while Cal Poly ranks 110th (34.3).
SMU ranks 70th in blocks per game (4.0) while Cal Poly ranks 138th in blocks allowed per game (4.2).
Cal Poly is 33rd in the nation with 5.3 steals allowed per game while SMU is 52nd with 5.7 steals allowed per game.
Bettings Trends:
Cal Poly’s average margin of defeat in their last five games has been 10.6, up from 3.4 for the season.
During their last five games, SMU has scored an average of 83.0 points per game (6.8 above their season average) and allowed an average of 68.4 points per game (7.6 above their season average).