Big West foes will collide when the UC Davis Aggies (7-11) face off against the Cal State Fullerton Titans (8-10) at Recreation Hall. Action begins at 10:00 pm ET on Wednesday, Jan. 27.
The Aggies are hoping to rebound after their 78-62 loss to Hawaii on Sunday. Josh Fox was the game’s leading scorer with 25 points. The Titans, meanwhile, are feeling some disappointment after their 83-75 loss against Cal Poly on Saturday. Tre’ Coggins played well for Cal State Fullerton, recording 21 points, seven rebounds, and one steal.
Trips to the foul line may prove key for the Titans in this one. They’re ranked 10th in the nation in FTA rate (46.9), while UC Davis is among the best at keeping opponents off of the charity stripe (ranking 30th by allowing a FTA rate of 27.9).
UC Davis is a slim one-point favorite at home against Cal State Fullerton. The Over/Under (O/U) is sitting at 136 points for this matchup. The Aggies have gone 7-11 Straight Up (SU) and 4-10 Against The Spread (ATS). The Aggies have seen a decline in scoring as of late, averaging 60.1 points during the last 10 games compared to their season average of 65.3 points per game. As for the UC Davis defense, it’s been a struggle for opposing teams to score on the Aggies. The 61.4 points that UC Davis’s defense allows per home game makes them the 44th-ranked defense at home.
As for their opponent, the Titans have records of 7-8 ATS and 8-10 SU.
These conference foes will be squaring off for the first time this season. In their most recent meeting a season ago, UC Davis came out on top, bumping its SU record to 6-4 over Cal State Fullerton in their most recent meetings. With a 6-4 record, the Aggies also have the advantage ATS. During their latest five matchups, neither team ever held the advantage in field goals, rebounds, or three-pointers.
Predictions: SU Winner – CSF, ATS Winner – CSF, O/U – Over
Notes
UC Davis is 3-9 SU in its last 12 games.
UC Davis is 21-4 SU in its last 25 games at home.
UC Davis is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing CS Fullerton.
UC Davis is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against CS Fullerton.
Cal State Fullerton is struggling at 1-4 SU in its conference, while UC Davis sits at 2-3 SU.
Cal State Fullerton scores just 72.2 points per away game (ranked 126th). UC Davis ranks 44th in points allowed at home, giving up 61.4 points.
Cal State Fullerton beats UC Davis in both possessions per game and points per possession. The Titans average 70.7 possessions and 1.039 points per possession, while the Aggies average 67.8 possessions with .964 points per possession.
UC Davis has an average effective field goal percentage of 50.0%. Cal State Fullerton is an underachieving 2-8 when opponents have a similar or higher effective field goal percentage.
UC Davis attempts an average of 14.0 three pointers per game and Cal State Fullerton attempts 20.0. In games where they have 20 or more three point attempts, the UC Davis Aggies are winless at 0-3 while the Cal State Fullerton Titans have a 5-4 record.
Cal State Fullerton has forced an average turnover percentage of 18.4% this season. UC Davis has a losing 5-9 record when its TO% is 18.4% or higher.
