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California Golden Bears – Oregon Ducks Preview

The California Golden Bears will be at Matthew Knight Arena to take on the Oregon Ducks in a Pac-12 matchup. The game starts at 9:00 pm ET on Wednesday, Jan. 6 and will air on ES2 and ES3.

The Ducks lost to Oregon State 70-57 on Sunday. Dillon Brooks had a good game for Oregon, finishing with 13 points, three assists, and two rebounds. The Golden Bears, meanwhile, are coming off a 71-58 win over Utah on Sunday. Ivan Rabb played well, accumulating 19 points and 10 rebounds to claim his sixth double-double of the season.

Brooks has been playing at a high level as of late for the Ducks, averaging 17.2 points, 5.2 rebounds, 3.0 assists, 1.4 steals, 1.2 blocks, and 0.8 three-pointers over the last five games.

Oregon, a three-point favorite, will look to capitalize at home against California. The Over/Under (O/U) for the matchup is set at 141 points. The Ducks enter the game with records of 11-3 Straight Up (SU) and 5-5-1 Against The Spread (ATS).

On the other side, California has a SU record of 12-3 and an ATS record of 8-7. California is one of the better rebounding teams in Division I. The Golden Bears average 41.7 rebounds per game, making them the 25th-best team in the country for that category. The Golden Bears are one of the top defensive teams in the nation, essentially shutting down opponents to the tune of 64.3 points allowed per game.

This is the first meeting of the season for these conference rivals. The last time they played, Oregon came out on top, but California still leads the head-to-head record over their most recent games, 9-1 SU. Additionally, California leads the matchup ATS with a record of 7-3. California had the advantage in three key areas (field goals, rebounds, and three-pointers) once over the last five matchups. Oregon has never had the edge in all three categories.

Predictions: SU Winner – Oregon, ATS Winner – Cal, O/U – Over

Notes

Oregon is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games.

Oregon is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home.

The total has gone OVER in 6 of Oregon’s last 9 games when playing California.

Oregon is 1-12 SU in its last 13 games when playing California.

Oregon is 3-9 ATS in its last 12 games when playing California.

Oregon is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against California.

California is a perfect 2-0 SU against conference rivals, while Oregon is a winless 0-1 SU against its foes.

California averages 76.8 points per game, placing the team just 123rd in the nation. Oregon ranks 65th in points allowed, giving up 65.8 points per game.

The Oregon Ducks rank 96th for their offensive rating of 109.8. The California Golden Bears have a defensive rating of 95.3 (ranked 55th).

The Oregon Ducks average 69.6 possessions per game and 1.098 points per possession, while the California Golden Bears earn fewer possessions (67.8) but more points per possession (1.133).

The California Golden Bears average an effective field goal percentage of 53.1% this season. The Oregon Ducks have split their games this season (1-1) when opponents have an eFG% of 53.1% or greater.

Oregon attempts an average of 19.0 three pointers per game and California attempts 19.0 on average. When the teams attempt at least 20 three pointers, the Oregon Ducks have a 4-3 record while the California Golden Bears are undefeated (8-0).

Ranked 25th in the nation, California averages 41.7 rebounds per game. Oregon ranks lower at 164th with 37.4 RPG.

Oregon makes 7.9 steals per game. In games where it gives up 7 or more steals, California is undefeated at 2-0.

Written by GMS Previews

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