The Detroit Pistons (6-5) take on the Charlotte Hornets (6-6) at Little Caesars Arena. The game will air on Fox Sports Carolina at 3:30 p.m. ET on Sunday, November 11, 2018.
The Over/Under (O/U) for the game opened at 222 points with Detroit set as a 2.5-point favorite.
Charlotte Hornets at Detroit Pistons Betting Prediction
In the Hornets’ last contest, they were topped by the Philadelphia 76ers, 133-132, but they did cover as 6-point underdogs. The total points for the game (265) came in well over the O/U total of 227. One of Philadelphia’s largest advantages was getting to the charity stripe. They made 41 trips to the line, while Charlotte went 40 times. Kemba Walker led Charlotte in scoring with 30 points on 9-for-29 shooting.
The Pistons defeated the Atlanta Hawks in their last contest, 124-109, easily covering as 5-point favorites. The game’s total points (233) came in over the O/U total of 227. Detroit’s turnover percentage was their largest advantage over Atlanta. The Pistons had a rate of 8.7 (better than their season average of 12.5), while the Hawks posted a mark of 14.2. Andre Drummond was the game’s leading scorer with 23 points on 10-for-15 shooting from the field.
Second-chance opportunities might be rare for Charlotte in this showdown. The Hornets rank 15th in offensive rebounding percentage (23.4 percent), while Detroit ranks first in defensive rebounding percentage (82.3 percent).
Charlotte holds records of 6-6 straight up (SU) and 8-4 against the spread (ATS). Vegas has been spot on when predicting totals of Hornets games, with an even split between overs and unders.
Meanwhile, Detroit is 6-5 SU and 5-6 ATS. Games including the Pistons have gone over the projected point total 54.5 percent of the time.
Malik Monk has averaged 14.8 points and 3.2 assists over the last five games for Charlotte.
After the Hornets won two out of three games against the Pistons last season, these teams will battle for the first time this year. In the last game, Charlotte won 114-98. The Hornets had a much better offensive rebounding percentage (28.3 vs. 19.0) and had a better free throw rate (0.159 vs. 0.118).
Hornets vs. Pistons Odds Pick
Free Pick: SU Winner – Hornets, ATS Winner – Hornets, O/U – Under
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Notes
Betting Notes:
On the road, Charlotte is 4-2 ATS with 3 overs and 3 unders.
At home, Detroit is 1-4 ATS with 3 unders and 2 overs.
Charlotte is 2-0 when they hold opponents under 100 points, while Detroit is 1-0.
The Hornets are 6-6 when they reach 100 points, while the Pistons are 6-3.
Charlotte ranks third in blocks per game (6.4) while Detroit ranks 23rd (3.9).
The Hornets average 25.3 assists per game, which ranks sixth in the NBA. The Pistons rank 21st in assists allowed per game (24.5).
Detroit averages 34.1 three pointers per game, which ranks sixth in the NBA. Charlotte ranks 20th in three pointers allowed per game (32.4).
The Pistons rank fourth in rebounds per game (49.0) while the Hornets rank 16th (45.3).
Detroit ranks fourth in second chance points allowed per game (11.2) while Charlotte ranks 14th (12.4).
The Hornets rank fourth in points off turnovers per game (21.0) while the Pistons rank 13th (17.2).
Detroit ranks fifth in fast break points allowed per game (11.3) while Charlotte ranks 14th (13.6).
The Hornets rank 13th in points in the paint per game (48.3) while the Pistons rank 17th in points allowed in the paint per game (49.3).
Bettings Trends:
Over its last five games, Charlotte is 3-2 ATS with 3 unders and 2 overs.
Detroit is 3-2 ATS with 3 overs and 2 unders over its last five games.
The Hornets’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 10.0, up from 7.2 for the season.
During their last five games, the Pistons have scored an average of 112.0 points per game (1.3 above their season average) and allowed an average of 110.8 points per game (0.3 below their season average).
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