The Charlotte Hornets (6-5) head to Philadelphia to take on the 76ers (7-5) in a matchup that pits great offense against exceptional defense. The game starts at 7 p.m. ET on Friday, November 9, 2018, and will air on NBATV.
The game’s Over/Under (O/U) has been set at 225 points with Philadelphia opening as a 5-point favorite.
Charlotte Hornets at Philadelphia 76ers ATS Prediction
Although the Hornets topped the Atlanta Hawks in their last outing, 113-102, they were unable to cover as 11.5-point favorites. The combined points for the game (215) were well under the O/U total of 232.5. The Hornets held the Hawks to an offensive rebounding percentage of 16.7 (below the 22.1 mark opponents have averaged against Charlotte this season). The Hawks also had a turnover percentage of 19.1 (above their season average of 15.6). Charlotte was led by Kemba Walker, who was the game’s leading scorer with 29 points on 12-for-22 shooting.
The last time the 76ers were in action, they beat the Indiana Pacers, 100-94, despite being 2.5-point underdogs. The game’s combined points (194) came in well under the projected point total of 217. One of Philadelphia’s largest strengths was their ability to convert at the free throw line. They were 18-22 (81.8 percent), while the Pacers were 12-17 (70.6 percent). With 16 points, 10 rebounds and eight assists, Ben Simmons played well for Philadelphia.
This game should be a showdown of contrasting styles. Philadelphia has preferred to play fast (eighth in possessions per game), while Charlotte has been more methodical (18th in possessions per game). Additionally, the Hornets’ fifth-ranked offense (offensive efficiency of 112.0) will face off against the 76ers’ fifth-ranked defense (defensive efficiency of 102.5).
Charlotte heads into the contest with records of 6-5 straight up (SU) and 7-4 against the spread (ATS). Of the Hornets’ 11 games, six have finished under the total.
Meanwhile, Philadelphia owns records of 7-5 SU and 5-7 ATS. Vegas is highly precise when predicting totals of 76ers games, with an even split between overs and unders.
This will be the second game of the season between these two teams. In the first, the Hornets lost 105-103 but covered as 7.5-point underdogs. Walker scored a game-high 37 points and also recorded six rebounds and six assists. The game finished with a total of 208 points, which was 23 points below the projected point total of 231 points. The 76ers had a much better offensive rebounding percentage (26.4 vs. 17.6) and had a better free throw rate (0.275 vs. 0.211).
Hornets vs. 76ers ATS Pick
Free NBA Pick: SU Winner – 76ers, ATS Winner – Hornets, O/U – Under
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Notes
Betting Notes:
Charlotte is 3-2 ATS on the road with 3 unders and 2 overs.
Philadelphia is 4-2 ATS at home with 3 overs and 3 unders.
When holding opponents below 100 points, Philadelphia is 3-0 and Charlotte is 2-0.
In games where they reach 100 points, the 76ers are 7-3 and the Hornets are 6-5.
Charlotte ranks fourth in second chance points allowed per game (11.5) while Philadelphia ranks 21st (14.7).
The Hornets rank sixth in points off turnovers per game (20.1) while the 76ers rank 22nd in points off turnovers allowed per game (18.0).
Charlotte ranks third in blocks per game (6.5) while Philadelphia ranks 16th in blocks allowed per game (5.7).
The Hornets average 34.4 three pointers per game, which ranks sixth in the NBA. The 76ers rank 19th in three pointers allowed per game (32.2).
Charlotte ranks 11th in points in the paint per game (49.3) while Philadelphia ranks 22nd in points allowed in the paint per game (49.8).
The 76ers rank fifth in rebounds per game (49.1) while the Hornets rank 15th (44.9).
Philadelphia ranks fifth in assists per game (25.7) while Charlotte ranks eighth (25.3).
Bettings Trends:
Over its last five contests, Charlotte is 3-2 ATS with 4 unders and 1 over.
Philadelphia is 3-2 ATS with 3 unders and 2 overs over its last five games.
The Hornets’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 9.8, up from 7.9 for the season.
During their last five games, the 76ers have scored an average of 108.0 points per game (2.7 below their season average) and allowed an average of 111.4 points per game (0.1 above their season average).
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