The Charlotte Hornets visit AmericanAirlines Arena to take on the Miami Heat in Game 5 of the Eastern Conference Quarterfinals. Action gets underway at 8:00 pm ET on Wednesday, Apr. 27 and can be seen on TNT and SUN.
The Heat lost to the Hornets 89-85 on Monday. Joe Johnson was the team’s leading scorer, recording 16 points.
The Heat come into this game 50-36 Straight Up (SU) and 45-40-1 Against The Spread (ATS). They have gone 10-10 SU and 9-10-1 ATS against teams from their own division. The Heat are the top team in the league at blocking shots, averaging 6.5 blocks per game.
On the other side, the Hornets have a record of 44-41-1 ATS and 50-36 SU. Against fellow division members, Charlotte has a 12-8 SU and ATS record. Charlotte is one of the top foul-shooting teams in the league, making .793 of their shots from the line. The Hornets rarely make costly errors handling the ball. They have the fourth-best assist-to-turnover ratio in the league at 1.82.
Charlotte won the last meeting this season between these two teams, bringing the head-to-head record to an even 5-5 SU over the last 10 meetings. They are even ATS in their last 10 meetings as well.
Predictions: SU Winner – Mia
Notes
Miami scores an average of 100.1 points per game (ranked 23rd), while Charlotte allows 100.7 points per game (ranked ninth).
On average, Miami puts up 104.0 points per home game (ranked 17th), while Charlotte gives up 103.0 points per away game (ranked 12th).
When allowing fewer than 100 points, the Heat are 38-13 on the season. When the Hornets score fewer than 100, they are a losing 10-27.
The Miami Heat have a subpar 12-23 record in games where they have allowed at least 100 points. The Charlotte Hornets are 40-9 when they hit triple digits.
The Heat have an offensive rating of 105.4 (ranked 10th). The Hornets rank eighth for their defensive rating of 102.6.
With 95.0 possessions and 1.054 points per possession, the Miami Heat perform worse on both metrics than the Charlotte Hornets. Charlotte averages 97.5 possessions and 1.057 points per possession.
The Miami Heat have one of the best effective field goal percentages this season, ranking 10th in the league with an EFF% of 50.9%. When their opponents record a similar or higher EFF%, the Charlotte Hornets have a losing 13-21 record.
The Miami Heat average 18.0 three point attempts per game and have a subpar 1-5 record when attempting at least 25 in a game. The Charlotte Hornets average 28.0 attempts and have a solid 45-28 record when attempting 25 or more.
Miami has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.58 this season (ranked 17th). Charlotte ranks higher with an A/TO of 1.82 (ranked fourth).
The Miami Heat rebound 44.1 times per game and are ranked 12th. Ranked 15th, the Charlotte Hornets rebound 43.6 times per game.
Miami is ranked sixth in defensive rebounds, while Charlotte ranks 28th in offensive rebounds.
The Miami Heat’s opponents have an average turnover percentage of 12.7% this season. The Charlotte Hornets are 21-15 SU when their TOV% is 12.7% or higher.
