The Indiana Pacers (48-33) and Charlotte Hornets (35-46) begin Eastern Conference play at Bankers Life Fieldhouse. The game will air on Fox Sports Carolina at 7 p.m. ET on Tuesday, April 10, 2018.
The Over/Under (O/U) for the game opened at 217.5 points with Indiana set as a 6-point favorite.
Charlotte Hornets at Indiana Pacers ATS Prediction
The Pacers lead the season series against the Hornets two games to one, including a six-point victory in their last matchup. Indiana covered as a 1-point underdog and the game finished with a total of 240 points, which was 25 points above the projected point total of 215 points. The Pacers had a much better turnover percentage (12.2 vs. 18.4) and had a better offensive rebounding percentage (18.4 vs. 13.5). Sabonis was the game’s top overall scorer with 30 points.
Getting to the line could be rare for Indiana in this contest. The Pacers rank 24th in the league with a free throw attempt (FTA) rate of 0.175, while Charlotte ranks second in FTA rate allowed (0.166). Additionally, the Hornets commit the third-fewest errors in the NBA (turnover percentage of 12.3 percent), while the ball-hawking defense of the Pacers causes the second-most (opponents’ turnover percentage of 15.2 percent).
Charlotte comes into the contest with records of 35-46 straight up (SU) and 32-45-4 against the spread (ATS). Vegas has typically been fairly accurate when setting the total of Hornets games, with 41 overs compared to 39 unders.
Meanwhile, Indiana owns records of 48-33 SU and 47-34 ATS. Games including the Pacers have a tendency to finish under the total (58.0 percent).
Willy Hernangomez and Malik Monk have been playing well over the last five games for Charlotte. Hernangomez has averaged 9.6 points and 8.0 rebounds per game. Not to be outdone, Monk has recorded 17.4 points and 3.2 assists a game during that span.
Charlotte Hornets at Indiana Pacers Odds Pick
Pick: SU Winner – Pacers, ATS Winner – Pacers, O/U – Under
Notes
Betting Notes:
On the road, Charlotte is 15-22-3 ATS with 20 unders, 19 overs and 1 push.
Indiana is 24-16 ATS at home with 23 unders, 16 overs and 1 push.
When holding opponents below 100 points, Charlotte is 12-3 and Indiana is 26-4.
In games where they score above 100 points, the Hornets are 34-23 and the Pacers are 39-16.
Indiana ranks second in steals per game (8.9) while Charlotte ranks 26th (6.8).
The Pacers rank fifth in fast break points per game (14.8) while the Hornets rank 28th (9.2).
Charlotte ranks fourth in rebounds per game (45.3) while Indiana ranks 22nd (42.2).
The Pacers rank second in points off turnovers per game (18.4) while the Hornets rank 16th (16.2).
Charlotte ranks first in second chance points allowed per game (10.6) while Indiana ranks 15th (12.7).
The Pacers rank 12th in assists allowed per game (23.2) while the Hornets rank 26th (24.8).
Charlotte ranks 20th in blocks per game (4.5) while Indiana ranks 26th (4.1).
The Hornets rank 21st in three pointers attempted per game (27.0) while the Pacers rank 26th (24.4).
Indiana ranks 13th in points in the paint per game (44.7) while Charlotte ranks 17th in points allowed in the paint per game (45.2).
Bettings Trends:
In their last five games, Charlotte is 1-4 ATS with 3 overs and 2 unders.
Indiana is 4-1 ATS with 3 overs and 2 unders over their last five games.
The Hornets’ average margin of defeat in their last five games has been 1.2, up from 0.1 for the season.
During their last five games, the Pacers have scored an average of 107.4 points per game (1.7 above their season average) and allowed an average of 105.2 points per game (1.2 above their season average).
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