The Chicago Bulls (5-17) look to end their five-game road losing streak in a matchup against the Detroit Pistons (11-7) at Little Caesars Arena. The game starts at 7 p.m. ET on Friday, November 30, 2018, and will air on WGN Channel 9.
The Over/Under (O/U) for the game opened at 216.5 points with Detroit set as a 9-point favorite.
Chicago Bulls at Detroit Pistons Free Prediction
Although the Bulls were defeated by the Milwaukee Bucks in their last contest, 116-113, they did cover as 15-point underdogs. The combined points for the game (229) were just under the O/U total of 230. Milwaukee’s 0.563 effective field goal percentage was their biggest strength over Chicago, who had a rate of 0.511. The Bucks’ mark was below their season average of 0.567. Zach LaVine was Chicago’s leading scorer with 24 points on 8-for-18 shooting.
In the Pistons’ previous game, they defeated the New York Knicks, 115-108, but failed to cover as 7.5-point favorites. The game’s total points (223) came in just over the O/U total of 220.5. One of Detroit’s largest advantages was getting to the free throw line. They made 45 trips to the line, while New York went 32 times. Blake Griffin was the game’s leading scorer with 30 points on 9-for-21 shooting from the field.
Detroit could own the offensive glass in this meeting. The Pistons currently rank fifth in offensive rebounding percentage (26.3 percent), while Chicago ranks 22nd in defensive rebounding percentage (75.3 percent).
Chicago holds records of 5-17 straight up (SU) and 11-11 against the spread (ATS). Games featuring the Bulls have typically finished under the O/U total (68.2 percent).
Meanwhile, Detroit is 11-7 SU and 10-8 ATS. Contrary to Chicago, games including the Pistons have typically gone over the projected point total (61.1 percent).
Jabari Parker has averaged 20 points,9.2 rebounds,3.4 assists,1.6 steals over the last five games for Chicago.
This is the second game of the season between these two teams. Griffin recorded 33 points, 12 rebounds and 5 assists in the first matchup, in which the Pistons beat the Bulls 118-116 but did not cover as 5-point favorites. The game finished with a total of 234 points, which was 17 points above the projected point total of 217 points. Detroit’s rebounding was their largest advantage. The Pistons had more offensive rebounds (18 vs. five) and total rebounds (49 vs. 41).
Bulls vs. Pistons Pick
Free Pick: SU Winner – Pistons, ATS Winner – Pistons, O/U – Over
Click Here to Start Betting Today!
Notes
Betting Notes:
On the road, Chicago is 4-6 ATS with 6 unders and 4 overs.
Detroit is 4-6 ATS at home with 6 overs and 4 unders.
Chicago is 2-1 when they hold opponents under 100 points, while Detroit is 1-0.
In games where they score over 100 points, the Pistons are 11-5 and the Bulls are 3-10.
Detroit ranks third in second chance points per game (15.7) while Chicago ranks 27th (10.0).
The Pistons rank fifth in three pointers allowed per game (29.1) while the Bulls rank 28th (34.5).
Detroit averages 47.4 rebounds per game, which ranks eighth in the NBA. Chicago ranks last in rebounds allowed per game (49.4).
The Pistons rank second in points off turnovers allowed per game (14.8) while the Bulls rank 22nd (17.9).
Detroit ranks fifth in steals allowed per game (7.2) while Chicago ranks 23rd (8.4).
The Pistons rank 15 in blocks allowed per game (5.111111111111111) while the Bulls rank 27 (6.818181818181818).
Detroit ranks 3 in fast break points allowed per game (10.555555555555555) while Chicago ranks 14 (13.454545454545455).
The Pistons average 49.666666666666664 points in the paint per game, which ranks 9 in the league. The Bulls rank 16 in points allowed in the paint per game (48.54545454545455).
Chicago ranks 21 in assists per game (22.363636363636363) while Detroit ranks 25 (21.5).
Bettings Trends:
Over its last five games, Chicago is 3-2 ATS with 4 unders and 1 over.
Detroit is 4-1 ATS with 5 overs over its last five games.
The Bulls’ average margin of defeat in their last five games has been 3.6, down from 8.9 for the season.
During their last five games, the Pistons have scored an average of 117.2 points per game (5.4 above their season average) and allowed an average of 110.8 points per game (0.1 above their season average).
*****
