The Chicago Cubs will be facing off against their NL Central nemesis Cincinnati Reds at Great American Ball Park. The action starts at 1:10 p.m. ET and fans can catch the game on WLS and FSOH.
Chicago Cubs at Cincinnati Reds Odds
Cincinnati (+145) is coming into this one as the underdog against Chicago (-155) and Vegas has the Over/Under for this day game at 9 runs (-120 for the over and +100 for the under). You can also bet on the game’s runline with the current odds standing at Cubs -1.5 runs (-110) and Reds 1.5 runs (-110).
The Reds are only 16-31 SU and 24-21 ATS. The team has lost 11.5 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 3.1 units against the spread (ATS). The Cubs, on the other hand, are 24-19 SU and have gone 18-23 ATS. Overall, the team’s lost 4.3 units for bettors taking the moneyline in the season’s early going and 5.3 units ATS.
Cincinnati games have an over/under record of 20-24-1 so far in 2018. Chicago has an over/under record of 18-23.
Right-hander Yu Darvish is projected to start for the visiting Cubs. Darvish is 0-3 with a 5.56 ERA and 42 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Reds this year and did not record a start against them in 2017, either.
The Reds are putting the ball in the right hand of Tyler Mahle (3-5, 4.34 ERA, 1.34 WHIP), who’s got 46 strikeouts and 16 walks. Mahle is 1-0 with seven strikeouts and a 0.00 ERA against Chicago this year.
Cincinnati’s pitchers have given up 5.2 runs per game overall this season as a unit. Its starters have a 5.59 ERA, 1.53 WHIP and 7.2 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.13 ERA, 1.35 WHIP and 8.9 K/9. In 21 divisional games, Reds starters have an ERA of 6.37 and the bullpen’s ERA is 4.76.
The Cincinnati offense has put up 4.0 runs per contest, including 2.8 per game against divisional foes and 3.0 per game over its last five. The team has a slash-line of .182/.261/.296 over its last five matchups and is 2-3 SU during that stretch.
The Reds’ hitters have been led by first baseman Joey Votto and second baseman Scooter Gennett. Votto is slashing .278/.404/.426 with six home runs, 24 RBIs and 22 runs scored, and Gennett’s line is .324/.358/.512 with seven homers, 27 RBIs and 21 runs.
Votto seemed to enjoy hitting righties at home last year. Across 253 such plate appearances, he slashed .347/.490/.648 (compared to his total season line of .320/.453/.577).
In the other dugout, Chicago’s pitchers have allowed 3.8 runs per game and its starters own a 3.79 ERA, 1.34 WHIP and 8.42 K/9. The bullpen has managed an excellent ERA of just 2.67, along with a K/9 of 8.96.
The Cubs offense has slashed .258/.342/.429 on its way to 5.4 runs scored per game this year, including 4.6 runs per game against divisional foes and 5.2 per game over the team’s last five outings (3-2 SU).
Third baseman Kris Bryant and catcher Willson Contreras have led Chicago’s offense. Bryant is hitting .305/.427/.583 with eight home runs, 24 RBIs and 29 runs scored, while Contreras (.279/.361/.490) is up to four homers, 20 RBIs and 17 runs scored.
The Cubs have lost 3.9 units and are 13-17 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has hit in 13 of those games, as opposed to 17 that’ve hit the under in such games. On the other hand, the Reds have lost 9.1 units and are 17-15 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in 14 of those games, compared to 18 which went under the total.
Chicago Cubs at Cincinnati Reds Free MLB Tip
Predictions: SU Winner – Cubs, ATS Winner – Cubs, O/U – OVER
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Notes
Betting Notes
The under has hit in three of Cincinnati’s last seven games.
Cincinnati has recorded 20.8 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 14.6 over its last five.
Each team has hit 12 home runs over its last 10 outings.
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