The streaking Cincinnati Reds are seeking their fifth straight win as they play host to the Chicago Cubs at Great American Ball Park. The game gets underway 7:10 p.m. ET and WGN is in line to broadcast the matchup.
Chicago Cubs at Cincinnati Reds Odds
Vegas is listing Cincinnati (+125) as the underdog to Chicago (-135). The total stands at nine runs and bettors can wager on the over for +100 and the under for -120. Bettors can also wager on the game’s runline with the odds sitting at +110 for the Cubs -1.5 runs and -130 for the Reds +1.5 runs.
The Cubs are 42-30 SU and have gone 37-34 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 0.4 units for moneyline bettors, despite having gained 4.3 units ATS. Chicago has covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the total has gone under in five of those seven. The Reds, on the other hand, are 29-45 SU and 40-33 ATS. They’ve lost 11.6 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 3.1 units ATS. Cincinnati has covered the spread six times in its last seven games and the total has gone under in five of those seven.
Reds games have had an over/under record of 34-37-2 so far in 2018. The Cubs have been a good under bet with a total record of 28-42-1.
Jose Quintana will get the start for the Cubbies. The southpaw Quintana (6-5, 4.06 ERA) has racked up 73 strikeouts in 75.1 innings so far. He’s 1-0 with seven strikeouts and a 0.00 ERA against Cincinnati this year.
The Reds are preparing to start righty Luis Castillo (4-8, 5.77 ERA), who has 76 punchouts and 31 walks, as well as a WHIP of 1.44. Castillo is 0-0 with four strikeouts and a 1.80 ERA in one start against Chicago this year.
Cincinnati’s pitchers have allowed 5.1 runs per game overall in 2018 as a unit. Its starting pitching staff has an ERA of 5.35, a WHIP of 1.48 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 7.3. The bullpen has a 4.10 ERA, 1.40 WHIP and 8.1 K/9. In 32 games against NL Central foes, Reds starters have an ERA of 5.80 and the bullpen’s ERA is 4.23.
The Cincinnati hitters have put up 4.3 runs per outing, including 3.4 per game against divisional foes and 6.0 per game over their last five. The team has slashed .291/.381/.512 over its last five contests and is 4-1 SU during that span.
Second baseman Scooter Gennett and first baseman Joey Votto have led the Reds’ hitters this year. Gennett is hitting .335/.370/.537 with 13 home runs, 50 RBIs and 38 runs scored, and Votto is hitting .295 with seven homers, 36 RBIs and 37 runs.
For the visitors, Chicago’s pitching staff allowed 3.5 runs per game and its starters own a 3.44 ERA, 1.28 WHIP and 7.91 K/9. The bullpen has logged an excellent ERA of just 2.76, along with a WHIP of 1.28.
The Cubs offense has slashed .259/.343/.416 on its way to 4.8 runs scored per game this year, including 4.4 runs per game against divisional foes and 2.2 per game over the team’s last five contests (2-3 SU).
Chicago’s offense has been sparked by third baseman Kris Bryant and second baseman Javier Baez, who’ve collectively belted 23 home runs. Bryant is slashing .285/.388/.488 with nine home runs, 36 RBIs and 40 runs scored. Baez (.266/.307/.531) is up to 14 homers, 48 RBIs, 41 runs and 13 steals.
The Cubs have lost 4.0 units and are 29-27 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has cashed in 22 of those games, compared to 33 that’ve gone under against right-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the Reds have lost 0.1 units and are 11-9 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher. The over’s hit in 12 of those games, compared to seven that’ve cashed the under.
Chicago Cubs at Cincinnati Reds Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Cubs, ATS Winner – Cubs, O/U – OVER
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Notes
Betting Notes
The under has hit in five of Cincinnati’s last seven games.
The Cubs have hit eight home runs in their last 10 games. The Reds have hit 14 over their last 10.
Chicago has recorded 20.1 runs + hits + errors per game over its last 10 games and 18.2 over its last five.
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